November 10, 2023
Weekly Horse Racing Tips By Ed Quigley
Ed Quigley researches the best bets and odds for the weekend’s free horse racing tips. Ed has over a decade of experience writing horse race betting tips at the Racing Post and is one of the UK’s most respected freelance horse racing betting journalists and broadcasters. Each week Ed covers horse racing throughout the UK and Ireland, reading his betting tips and odds analysis is the best way to get the information you need for the most interesting horse races this weekend.
Ed also brings you Cheltenham tips and tips for the National.
Horse Racing Tips for Saturday 11/11/2023
- Haydock 1.15 – Lac De Constance e/w
- Ascot 2.05 – Strong Leader
- Haydock 2.20 – Emitom e/w
- Haydock 3.00 – BravemansgameHaydock 1.15 – Lac De Constance e/w
LAC DE CONSTANCE has been in the notebook for some time, and looks an each-way play in this Handicap Hurdle. The Dan Skelton trained 7-year-old made a bright start to life over fences last season then it all fell apart afterwards. He is on somewhat of a retrieval mission now back over the smaller obstacles, in which off a mark of 136, he could easily get involved in this company. The recent run at Aintree was needed to blow away the cobwebs on his first start after a wind operation, and he should be a lot sharper for this assignment. Trip and ground and a flat rack should be spot on, and it wouldn’t shock me if a revival was on the cards. Harry Skelton takes the ride and the combination can get in the mix here.Ascot 2.05 – Strong Leader
This is a bit of a muddling affair, where you can make a case for all 5 runners. I think the value lies with the Olly Murphy trained STRONG LEADER who can bounce back from a disappointing run last time out. Sent off 3/1 joint-favourite for the Welsh Champion Hurdle, he was in top gear all the way in order to keep tabs with his rivals over the minimum trip, and was probably in need of the run on his first start of the campaign. The salient point being the step up in trip, where he ventures up to 2m4f for the first time – a trip he looks like he has been crying out for. If you go back to his runner-up effort over 2m in Grade 1 company at Aintree last season, he was nearer last than first as they turned into the home straight, but did all his best work inside the closing stages. Although on ratings he has a bit to find, I think he can thrive now presented with a greater examination of stamina. Sean Bowen is in the saddle, and a big run could be on the cards.Haydock 2.20 – Emitom e/w
Emitom has a lot of back-class, and looks the each-way angle in a highly competitive event. The 9-year-old won the Rendlesham over C&D back in 2020 before the wheels gradually came off, but appears to have found a new lease of life with Alan King, and comes here on the back of a runner-up effort at Newbury off the same mark. Flat tracks with a bit of cut in the ground look perfect for this individual who has a touch of class. Tom Cannon takes the ride, and off a mark of 127 the combination can get in the shake-up at the business end of proceedings. Emitom gets the each-way nod from me.
Haydock 3.00 – Bravemansgame
Drying ground is a massive fillip for the Paul Nicholls trained star BRAVEMANSGAME, who can make his class tell and land the Betfair Chase with new pilot Daryl Jacob on board. Bravemansgame is a class act who won last season’s King George and finished runner-up in the Cheltenham Gold Cup. He may well have won on his seasonal reappearance at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall Chase but for a last-fence blunder which knocked the stuffing out of him on very testing ground. This should be much more his bag, and conditions look to be coming in his favour – the opposite which would be the case for the defending champion Protektorat, and confirmed stayers Royal Pagaille and Corach Rambler, who would probably want this to turn into a real war of attrition. Paul Nicholls’ representative can get back to winning ways here before heading back to Kempton to defend his crown.
Previous Week’s Free Horse Racing Tips
Horse Racing Tips for Saturday 11/11/2023
- Aintree 2.10 – Lively Citizen e/w
- Kelso 2.15 – De Legislator
- Down Royal 2.20 – Gerri Colombe
- Wincanton 2.25 – Ballygrifincottage e/w
Kelso 2.15 – De Legislator
I think DE LEGISLATOR could be lobbed-in off a mark of 115 on Chase debut. This former winning pointer won his first two starts over Hurdles last season in smart fashion, before being far from disgraced in the Grade 2 Prestige Novices at Haydock when coming fifth in a race that probably came a bit soon for him. He was put away for the season after that, and now reappears over the larger obstacles with the potential of being a well treated individual. Trip and ground should be fine for the 6-year-old who represents the Derek Fox and Lucinda Russell team. The son of Shirocco has course and distance winning form and is the one to beat.
Down Royal 2.20 – Gerri Colombe
GERRI COLOMBE is the ‘up-and-comer’ and can outclass his rivals in this Grade 1 assignment. He has to take on three race-fit rivals who are high-class on their day, but father time isn’t waiting for them. Gerri Colombe has won eight of his nine starts under rules, with his ony defeat coming when beaten a short-head by The Real Whacker in the Grade 1 Brown Advisory at this year’s Cheltenham Festival, where he couldn’t reel in the winner in the dying stages. Subsequently, he put in a fantastic performance to destroy his rivals at Aintree, and this improving youngster looks to have the tools required to now mix it in the big league. This looks like the ideal starting point and it would be no surprise that if by the time we get to the Cheltenham Festival next March, he is one of the protagonists in the line-up. Jack Kennedy is back on board, and I like the claims of Gerri Colombe here.
Wincanton 2.25 – Ballygrifincottage e/w
Things haven’t gone to plan for BALLYGRIFINCOTTAGE in recent times, but the 8-year-old has the ability to run a big race here, as he should be sharper after his seasonal reappearance at Newton Abbot. Fourth in Albert Bartlett as a Novice Hurdler, he made a sensational start to life over fences last season when romping home Haydock as he jumped superbly. He has struggled since with various issues, but If they are sorted after a wind-operation, there can’t be that many horses in the line-up with the potential to be well-handicapped like he is. On the whole, it is a fairly exposed bunch and he could easily make waves off 140. Cheek Pieces go on for the first time in addition to the tongue-tie, and if things click he will be a danger to all in this company. Lorcan Williams takes the ride, and the combination gets the each-way nod from me.
Previous Week’s Free Horse Racing Tips
Horse Racing Tips for Saturday 04/11/2023
- Ascot 1.30 – Passing Well
- Wetherby 1.50 – You Wear It Well
- Ascot 2.05 – Red Rookie
- Wetherby 2.25 – Thyme Hill
Ascot 1.30 – Passing Well
It could be a big afternoon for Lambourn trainer Jamie Snowden, and he is represented by PASSING WELL, who was all set to go at Cheltenham last weekend but the ground was deemed to quick, so he heads to Ascot instead, where he looks to have major claims with underfoot conditions that will be ideal for the 6-year-old. He won two of his five starts over Hurdles last season since joining the yard, and both of those wins came on Soft ground. Also, it is worth noting that he won first-time out last season, so I have no issues over his ability to go well fresh on his Chase debut. His defeat in the Grade 1 Challow Novices’ Hurdle when finishing fourth was excellent form, as that race has worked out really well since. Eased to a BHA mark of 122 I like his chances over this trip on testing ground with Johnny Burke in the saddle where I think there should be plenty more to come from this individual.
Wetherby 1.50 – You Wear It Well
Cheltenham Festival winning Mare YOU WEAR IT WELL is back, and is my selection to win the Listed Mares’ Hurdle over 2m. This looks like a hot renewal, but I would be worried about Luccia on testing ground, and the fact Nico De Boinville doesn’t travel to ride her and goes to Ascot instead must be a concern. Kateira, whilst well suited by the terms of this race, represents the Dan Skelton yard who have been a little quiet as of late. You Wear It Well ran her rivals ragged when winning the Mares’ Novice at this year’s Cheltenham Festival, and imagine, coming back to 2m on her return will not be an issue on ground that will be hard work. In all likelihood, Gavin Sheehan will press on early and try to expose the fitness of her rivals. It’s a class renewal, but I am siding with the Jamie Snowden runner in this one.
Ascot 2.05 – Red Rookie
RED ROOKIE absolutely relishes testing ground, and will feel at home with the mud flying at Ascot. The Emma Lavelle team have been in good form recently, and this individual should love the conditions and arrives here with a strong chance. The 8-year-old has five career wins to his name, with three of those coming on ground officially described as Heavy, so it is a case of the more the rain the merrier. The gelding has a good record when fresh, and coming back to this extended 2m will be perfect for him, as I haven’t always been convinced that he can operate as well over further. Thomas Bellamy is in the saddle, and off a mark of 140 I think the combination can really serve it up to their rivals in what looks like a cracking encounter.
Wetherby 2.25 – Thyme Hill
This looks a perfect opportunity for the 9-year-old THYME HILL to get back to winning ways. The gelding loves soft ground, has an excellent record when fresh, and should be much happier plying his trade over Hurdles once again this season – he never looked a natural Chaser. He is a class act on his day, and represents the Philip Hobbs and Johnson White combination who really are in the groove at the moment. The Somerset team are operating at a 33% strike-rate for the last two weeks, so their string are clearly in rude health. Thyme Hill was a Grade 1 horse in his pomp, and he can make that back class tell here. Dashel Drasher has to be respected despite his advancing years, and the joker in the pack could be Ga Law, who reverts back to Hurdles and has a crack at 3m.
Horse Racing Tips for Saturday 21/10/2023
- Ascot 1.15 – Trueshan
- Ascot 1.50 – Art Power e/w
- Ascot 2.25 – Term Of Endearment
- Ascot 3.05 – Paddington
- Ascot 3.45 – Via Sistina e/w
Ascot 1.15 – Trueshan
Wind surgery in the summer looks as though it has done the trick for TRUESHAN, who has looked his old self once again, and can continue the winning thread here. The Alan King trained 7-year-old has been firing on all cylinders since his wind-op, winning the Group 2 Doncaster Cup, and then dining at the top table once again, as he won the Group 1 Prix Du Cadran for the second time in his career. Trueshan has a sublime record at Ascot, winning this race in particular for the last three years, and although an on-song Kyprios is a formidable opponent, Aidan O’Brien’s runner has to prove that he is still the force he once was on the comeback trail after injury. Trueshan will love the ground and the veteran can have one more big day.
Ascot 1.50 – Art Power e/w
Kinross could easily get the job done here, making it back-to-back wins in the race for the horse, representing the Ralph Beckett team who have had a great season, and ‘Farewell’ Frankie Dettori in the saddle. However, outside of Kinross, it looks fairly wide-open, and with underfoot conditions to suit, I wouldn’t rule out a big run from the Tim Easterby trained ART POWER. He has winning form at this track, and has run with credit in this race before, and crucially should get some ground that really suits him. Kinross should take all the beating here, but if whatever reason he doesn’t bring his form to the table, then I will be looking for Art Power to gatecrash the party, where this former Royal Ascot winner won’t be out of place in this line-up, and he gets the each-way nod with David Allan in the plate.
Ascot 2.25 – Term Of Endearment
This looks gloriously wide-open, and a case can be made for quite a few horses in the line-up. From an each-way perspective, I like the chances of recent Group 3 scorer TERM OF ENDEARMENT. Henry De Bromhead and Tom Marquand would be an infrequent combination, but they team up here on an individual who clearly relished the test of stamina when bolting up at Cork in August. She will stay all day, and so with this likely to turn into a proper war of attrition she should be well equipped for this assignment. Although on ratings it suggests she has a bit to find, she is a filly in form and conditions will be in her favour, so I wouldn’t be shocked if she got involved at the business end of proceedings.
Ascot 3.05 – Paddington
PADDINGTON can get back to winning ways in what should be a thrilling renewal of the Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes. The clash with high-class fillies Tahiyra and Nashwa means the Ballydoyle runner has plenty on his plate, but I think he can pass this test returning to a stiff mile on slow ground. The colt rattled up 7 wins on the bounce prior to finishing third in the International at York over an extended 10f, with four consecutive wins coming at the highest level. Freshened up after a busy schedule, this looks a perfect opportunity to regain the winning thread coming back to the same course and distance of his emphatic performance to land the St James’s Palace Stakes. Ryan Moore is in the saddle, and I am looking forward to seeing this Aidan O’Brien trained individual strut his stuff on Champion’s Day.
Ascot 3.45 – Via Sistina e/w
As an each-way play, I like the George Boughey trained filly, VIA SISTINA. The 5-year-old has been in great form this season, with the highlight being when winning the Group 1 Pretty Polly Stakes at the Curragh in July. She was denied on the line at Deauville last time out, which was all that was between her and another top-level success, but it was a cracking run regardless. Oisin Murphy will be on board the daughter of Fasnet Rock who loves plenty of juice in the ground, and is a very smart performer at this trip. This looks to be another race on Champions Day that looks very competitive, and I think this strong-travelling individual could easily get in the mix at an each-way price.
Horse Racing Tips for Saturday 14/10/2023
- Chepstow 2.30 – Threeunderthrufive e/w
- Newmarket 2.40 – Wordsworth e/w
- Newmarket 3.15 – Arabian Crown
- Newmarket 3.50 – Knight
Chepstow 2.30 – Threeunderthrufive e/w
THREEUNDERTHRUFIVE didn’t manage to get everything to click last season, but if master trainer Paul Nicholls has him fully revved-up for his seasonal bow, then I don’t think he will be far away. The 8-year-old was far from disgraced in the Ultima at the Cheltenham Festival, and ran an excellent race on his final start of the campaign when finishing fourth in the Scottish Grand National. Off a mark of 147 he could easily get involved, given that he is a good jumper, goes on any ground, and has won at Chepstow in the past. With that in mind, any rain falling shouldn’t be an issue, and given his smart record when fresh, it would be no surprise if he was fired up for this after undergoing a recent wind-operation. The superb Harry Cobden is in the saddle, and the combination look to have a rock-solid each-way claims in this encounter.
Newmarket 2.40 – Wordsworth e/w
The market revolves around Pied Piper, who as a 157-rated Hurdler could still have a lot more to offer on the level off 96, and should have no issues over trip or ground. He has been well nibbled at though in recent days, and so looks skinny enough in the market for a race of this nature. There is no doubt he is a horse with a touch of class, but he doesn’t get me excited at his price. However, at much bigger odds I wouldn’t rule out a big run from David Pipe’s new recruit WORDSWORTH. The former Ballydoyle inmate, who was rated 111 at his peak, looks rejuvenated by current connections, which was evident on his hurdling debut for the yard. He won in a common canter at Bangor, not really having to go through the gears, and looking in rude health as he went about his business. The 5-year-old is still relatively unexposed over staying trips on the Flat, and has always shaped as though the demands of this assignment would be tailor-made for him. Pipe has gone on record to say that this race “has been the plan all along” and so he will more than likely be primed to the minute for this. In my view there are a few others ahead of him in the market who have bigger question marks, and from an each-way angle I think the Pond House representative can get firmly in the shake-up here. He looks versatile in regards to underfoot conditions and gets the nod from me with Christian Howarth helping offset his big weight by claiming 5lb.
Newmarket 3.15 – Arabian Crown
ARABIAN CROWN could take some stopping here in the Group 3 Zetland Stakes. He displayed good staying qualities to win a Listed contest over 1m at Salisbury back in August when last seen. Over 2f from home he looked in a spot of bother, but he really picked up inside the closing stages to land the odds, and with that in mind, this extra distance can aid his cause. Forecast rain shouldn’t be a problem for the colt who had no issue when winning in the mud to win at Sandown on his penultimate start so looks adaptable in regards to ground. William Buick taking the ride on the Charlie Appleby inmate, and and looks the one they all have to catch.
Newmarket 3.50 – Knight
KNIGHT can regain the winning thread stepping up to 9f for this encounter. Winless this term, but a model of consistency, he has performed well in some tough tasks this season, including when staying on well in the Group 2 Celebration Mile at Goodwood on his penultimate start, only to be caught inside the closing stages. This step up to this niche trip looks perfect for him, and all involved will be very happy if it continues to rain. The Simon & Ed Crisford team have had an excellent season, and have continued the good form, operating at around a 22% strike-rate for October. The top-class James Doyle is on board the gelding, and a big run is on the cards.
Previous Week’s Free Horse Racing Tips
Tips for Saturday 07/10/2023
- Newmarket 1.30 – Whispering Words
- Ascot 1.50 – Emaraaty Ana
- Ascot 2.25 – Al Aasy
- Newmarket 2.40 – Blue Missile e/w
Newmarket 1.30 – Whispering Words NAP
WHISPERING WORDS doesn’t have many miles on the clock, and I think connections will be disappointed if the filly isn’t up to defying a mark of 88 as she moves into the Handicap ranks for the first time. The daughter of Dubawi won a red-hot race over 1m on the July Course in August, in which the form has worked out nicely, before subsequently going on to finish in the silver medal spot at Kempton last time out under a penalty, and in the process pulled a long way clear of the third. Pipped just a neck at the line, she finished very strongly, giving a strong impression that this step up to 10f can bring about further improvement as she goes into the Handicap ranks, where in my view I think this unexposed sort can flourish. Ryan Moore has been booked to ride for the in-form Charlie Appleby team, and this combination look to have serious claims of getting into the winners’ enclosure here.
Ascot 1.50 – Emaraaty Ana
There is no getting away from the fact that it has been an overdue/long-time between drinks for EMARAATY ANA, but she has the perfect opportunity to break the losing spell in this Listed assignment over the 5f. In many ways, it is hard to believe that Kevin Ryan’s veteran has gone two years without a win, but has mainly been getting frustrated in much tougher company than this company than this, and this possibly looks an average renewal for the Grade. On ratings, the 7-year-old has a fair bit in hand, and judging by the gears he showed when third at York over 6f last month, I don’t think this drop back down to the minimum trip will be an inconvenience, and if anything I see it as a positive as his 5f form is mustard – his last two starts at that trip alone have seen him finish third in last year’s Nunthorpe, and runner-up at the Breeders’ Cup. Neil Callan is on board this former Group 1 winner who can make his class tell in this company with drying ground a positive. Emaraaty Ana’s peak form is in a different league to his rivals, and I think he can make his class tell here.
Ascot 2.25 – Al Aasy
AL AASY, traditionally is a strong-traveller, and gets the nod from me here to get back in the winner’s enclosure. The 6-year-old has been in stunning form this season, and was foiled in the hattrick attempt when runner-up at Leopardstown last month. Al Aasy habitually likes to be ridden patiently from off the pace, but possibly Jim Crowley over-did the waiting tactics last time out, when trying to make up a lot of ground from off the pace, but didn’t manage to reel in the winner from the Ballydoyle team. This looks a fair chance to regain the winning thread, where on these terms I think he will have the upper-hand over his rivals. Providing underfoot conditions don’t become too quick he looks the one to beat in my view for the William Haggas team.
Newmarket 2.40 – Blue Missile e/w
BLUE MISSILE has been a little bit hit-and-miss so far in her short career, but I think she looks the each-way value in this Fillies’ Handicap. The salient point is the step up to 1m4f – we saw evidence at Windsor last time out that she is crying out for a step up to this distance as she looks to have plenty of stamina in the locker. The daughter of Galileo has only made it to the track four times, winning the once, but freshened up after this 75-day break, she has every opportunity to put her best foot forwards eased to a mark of 84, but crucially running over 1m4f for the first time. This looks key to her chances and it can unlock her untapped potential. Cieran Fallon and William Haggas team-up here, and I wouldn’t be surprised if she got in the shake-up here from an each-way point of view
Tips for Saturday 30/09/2023
- Newmarket 1.50 – Defiance e/w
- Newmarket 2.25 – Relief Rally
- Newmarket 3.00 – River Tiber
- Newmarket 3.40 – Saga e/w
Newmarket 1.50 – Defiance e/w
The Royal Lodge looks wide-open with a lot of low-mileage sorts looking to enhance their reputations. As an each-way option, I am with the once-raced DEFIANCE. The Roger Varian-trained representative got off the mark on debut but the bare result of his win at Sandown on debut last month doesn’t tell the whole story. He was sluggish throughout the early exchanges, and so from a long way off the pace he made up lots of ground to power home inside the closing stages, getting up to beat Caviar Heights by a head. That rival has gone on to win again since, so the form looks fairly solid Defiance was clearly in need of the debut experience, but showed a really willing attitude to go through the gears and get the job done at the Esher venue, and should have learnt a great deal from that experience. With the likelihood there is more to come, he is my each-way angle with the excellent Tom Marquand taking the ride in what should be a great race.
Newmarket 2.25 – Relief Rally
Winning four of her five starts, RELIEF RALLY has been on fire this season, with her only defeat coming at Royal Ascot, when beaten a nose in the Queen Mary. Since then she has gone on to win at Newbury, and then came home with a wet sail to win the Group 2 Lowther Stakes when stepping up to 6f for the first time. She looked as though she improved for the trip and sets a solid standard here. It is also worth noting that connections were worried over her ability to handle fast ground at York, but she did so without any issue, and in doing so dismissed any fears about tackling the prospect of quick underfoot conditions coming into this race. Tom Marquand teams up with William Haggas – a combination who have had an excellent season and the duo can add to the winning tally here.
Newmarket 3.00 – River Tiber
I think RIVER TIBER can regain the winning thread here. Aidan O’Brien’s representative won his first three starts, including the Coventry Stakes at Royal Ascot. He finished third to Vandeek in the Prix Morny when last seen, where it looked as though he was a little laboured in deep ground, only managing to come third. In the build up to the race, connections voiced their concerns that he had missed a crucial bit of work due to a small set-back and that he was possibly undercooked. That would have appeared true based on what we saw on the track, and I think we will see a totally different horse this time around, especially back on quicker ground. Ryan Moore will be in the saddle for this Group 1 assignment, and it will be no surprise at all if the combination results in River Tiber bouncing back to the big time, where he can reverse form with Vandeek and see off the remainder of the field.
Newmarket 3.40 – Saga e/w
Ryan Moore takes the ride on SAGA, who is the each-way bet in Cambridgeshire. He has been very consistent, and form figures of 222 at Newmarket would underline that, so clearly the course holds no fears, and he won’t be intimidated by the big-field scenario. Beaten a head over C&D in May, he was arguably a little unlucky not to get his head in front. Freshened up since coming third in a Listed race at Sandown back in July, he could thrive here with ground to suit, a return to this track is a positive and Ryan Moore in the saddle. As always, a bit of luck will be needed in a race of this nature, but the Gosden team will be hoping that their Royal runner has all the tools required to get in the mix here. Greek Order is the progressive, and arguably most exciting type in the field, but his odds look a bit cramped to me as a consequence of his Newbury romp. Saga will do for me back at the niche 9f where he must have major claims of hitting the frame at least.
*Odds correct at time of publishing. Available to UK residents (excluding Northern Ireland) aged 18+ only. T&Cs apply. www.begambleaware.org
Previous Week’s Free Horse Racing Tips
Tips for Saturday 23/09/2023
- Newbury 2.05 – Laafi
- Ayr 3.00 – Raqiya
- Newbury 4.25 – Scholarship e/w
- Newmarket 4.35 – Karat Karat
- Newbury 5.00 – Welleef
Newbury 2.05 – Laafi
It hasn’t been straight-forward for LAAFI over the last few months, but this looks the perfect opportunity to bounce back into the big time. This unexposed sort was a winner on his final start as a 2-year-old, when staying on powerfully on Soft ground to win at Nottingham. He hasn’t hit top stride this season, but he faced a tough test when fourth at Listed level on his seasonal reappearance, then was unsuited by the drop back to 10f on rattling quick ground in the Golden Gates on Handicap debut at Royal Ascot. Gelded since, this looks a much more suitable assignment for an individual who still has the scope to improve, and could easily do so now going up to 1m5f, and judged on his win in the mud last year, he is crucially getting plenty of give underfoot. There has been a lot of rain around, and conditions should be suitably testing for him. Eased to a mark of 95 I like his chances with the excellent Tom Marquand in the saddle for the Willliam Haggas team.
Ayr 3.00 – Raqiya
We have a Group 3 Fillies’ assignment where the hattrick seeking RAQIYA goes in search of more glory in her toughest test to date. She showed real gears to get the job done in a minor event at Salisbury, and then at Haydock last time out, she saw off her rivals with the minimum fuss to land the spoils. It looks like a competitive race on paper, but in my view she is the most exciting individual in the field, and well worthy of her place in the line-up here. Jim Crowley takes the ride and this combination could prove tough to beat.
Newbury 4.25 – Scholarship e/w
SCHOLARSHIP has looked a shadow of his former self this summer, but with ground to suit at a track which was the scene of his last win, I will chance my arm on the Clive Cox trained 3-year-old. He has to be in the mood for it, and he may have fallen out of love with the game, but he should be a spot of value to find out given that he will have his ideal ground, and the importance of hock-deep underfoot conditions for him can’t be highlighted enough. The blinkers that were applied here last time out to little benefit have been binned, and off a career-low handicap mark of 84 he looks too well treated to ignore. Callum Shepherd takes the ride on the gelding, and this combination are no forlorn hope of getting back into the winners’ enclosure.
Newmarket 4.35 – Karat Karat
KARAT KARAT goes Handicapping off a mark of 80, and this daughter of Australia can get back to winning ways in this Fillies’ assignment. A winner of a minor event at Yarmouth on her penultimate start, she disappointed when beaten as an odds-on favourite at Lingfield on the All-Weather last time out. She stepped up to 12f on that occasion, I am not totally convinced she stayed the trip – she was asked to close the gap 2f from home and there wasn’t a great deal under the bonnet when called upon for an effort. Off her mark, you would be thinking that she should have a lot more to offer, where the majority of the field are more exposed than her. William Buick has been booked for the ride, and a bold show can be expected.
Newbury 5.00 – Welleef
I am looking forward to seeing Handicap debutant WELLEEF unleashed off a mark of 82, where the step up to 1m looks tailor-made for this Lope De Vega colt. A winner on testing ground at Leicester on debut, it was somewhat of a shock when he was turned over at odds of 1/2f at Salisbury last time out, looking outpaced on very quick ground and finishing third. Easier underfoot conditions should be much more suitable for this unexposed individual, who can thrive now upped to 1m in what will be a much needed relative stamina-test in comparison to what happened last time out. Derby-winning jockey Richard Kingscote takes the ride, and a lot more can be expected now delving into the Handicap ranks with a scenario promising to suit.
Horse Racing Tips for Saturday 15/09/2023
- Doncaster 2.25 – Chipstead e/w
- Doncaster 3.00 – Sandrine
- Doncaster 3.35 – Chesspiece e/w
- Doncaster 4.10 – Simply Sondheim
Doncaster 2.25 – Chipstead e/w
As ever, the Portland Handicap looks really wide-open where a case can be made for quite a few of the contenders. My each-way play in this encounter will be the Roger Teal trained CHIPSTEAD. The son of Mayson was unlucky in this twelve months ago, being first past the post, only to be disqualified and demoted to second in a rough encounter. He is higher in the weights this time around, but this niche extended 5f at Town Moor suits him, and like his sire, cut in the ground poses no problem. Arriving on the back of an eye-catching fourth-placed finish in the Shergar Cup Dash over what looked an inadequate minimum 5f, he shapes as though he is coming back to form, and should be primed for this. His full brother Oxted won this race back in 2019, so success runs in the family, and a bold show can be expected here with Freddie Larson in the saddle claiming 3lb.
Doncaster 3.00 – Sandrine
The first-time visor appeared to really galvanise the 4-year-old who looks a major player running over 7f again for the Andrew Balding and Oisin Murphy combination. The former winner of the Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot in 2021 when the mud was flying will have no issue with the recent rains that have fallen in the Yorkshire area. After a bit of a spell in the doldrums, she looked much more her old self when running a belter in that Group to on the Knavesmire. In fact, when combining Group 2 level with the niche 7f trip she is a force to be reckoned with, and official figures suggest she is right in the shake-up here. I think she looks the value call in an open-looking renewal.
Doncaster 3.35 – Chesspiece e/w
CHESSPIECE is an improving sort, and after winning a York Handicap at the Dante Meeting has shown a very solid level of form, finishing third in the Group 2 Queen’s Vase at Royal Ascot, then scoring in a Listed race at Hamilton before running a cracker at Glorious Goodwood, when finishing runner-up to Desert Hero in the Gordon Stakes. I think that was a smart run in defeat where Chesspiece had to do a lot of the donkey work and was mugged inside the closing stages in a tactical affair. I think the more galloping nature of Doncaster will suit Chesspiece better, and I think the return to 1m6f will be a huge tick in the box. To my mind, he looks like a relentless galloper who is very happy with a bit of cut in the ground and he won’t be found wanting for stamina. Albeit on soft ground last time out he just got done for toe at a track that wouldn’t have been ideal for him. I think his chances could be underestimated where the demands of the final classic of the season will be tailor made for him.
Doncaster 4.10 – Simply Sondheim
Ryan Moore has been booked to ride SIMPLY SONDHEIM in this 10f assignment, where soft underfoot conditions could be crucial to the chances of the 4-year-old getting back in the winner’s enclosure. The George Boughey team are in fine fettle at the moment, and they will be looking for a bounce-back to form after a disappointing effort at Newmarket last time out on quick ground. In fact, Simply Sondheim has a very good record with give underfoot, and is undefeated when ‘Soft’ is in the going description. On paper this looks significantly easier than recent assignments and it would be far from a shock if he were to find his best form here.
Tips for Saturday 09/09/2023
- Haydock 1.50 – Chindit
- Leopardstown 3.20 – Onesto e/w
- Haydock 3.35 – Regional e/w
- Ascot 3.45 – Mantoog
- Haydock 4.10 – Raasel e/w
Haydock 1.50 – Chindit
I think it is worth rolling the dice with the experienced CHINDIT in this Group 3 over 1m. The Richard Hannon-trained 5-year-old has been in good form this summer and looks the value call to get back in the winner’s enclosure easing in grade. Chindit was a winner of a Listed event at Ascot on his seasonal reappearance and has acquitted himself well in some tough tasks subsequently. He followed that win up with an excellent effort to finish runner-up in the Group 1 Lockinge Stakes, and then was far from disgraced when sixth in a red-hot renewal of the Queen Anne Stakes at Royal Ascot. You could argue he was a shade disappointing when only managing third in the Group 2 Hungerford Stakes last time out, but he looked inconvenienced running over an inadequate 7f on that occasion and should be much happier returning to 1m for this assignment. Top pilot James Doyle takes the ride, and a bold show is expected here.
Leopardstown 3.20 – Onesto e/w
Frankie Dettori could be set for an iconic flying dismount in his final-ever ride in an Irish Champion Stakes, and French raider ONESTO looks the each-way play in my view. There are question marks about the profiles of all the main players here, and Onesto looks overpriced on that basis. Runner-up in this race 12 months ago when possibly going for home too soon, he has been below-par recently, but connections used his most recent assignment to tee him up for this when finishing fourth to Inspiral over 1m last time out. There will be no doubt he will be cherry-ripe after that run, and a return to this venue is a positive. This race should be a barnstormer, and Onesto has every chance of going one place better than last year.
Haydock 3.35 – Regional e/w
The sprinting division traditionally likes to throw up some freak results, but by default, Shaquille will be all the rage, and will take all the beating if running to his best. However, he is skinny enough in the betting for an individual who keeps making a mess of the start. To this point it hasn’t cost him, but on balance, at some point you would think that the early-race antics race are going to be his undoing, for all that he is the Royal Ascot winner is the class act in the line-up here. The draw bias on the Sprint track at Haydock can also be a lottery, so all in all I like to avoid taking short prices on horses at this venue. At a juicy price, Ed Bethell’s REGIONAL looks the value play. The 5-year-old has a few pounds to find on official ratings, but if Shaquille does make a mess of things, I think you could throw a blanket over many in the line-up. Regional was an impressive C&D winner in a Listed event back in June, and so this track on the forecast ground holds no fears. He ran a solid race when fifth in the Nunthorpe and a return to this venue can see him bring out more improvement. The yard are in fine fettle at the moment, and Regional gets the nod from me
Ascot 3.45 – Mantoog
Owen Burrows has had a good year, operating at around a 22% strike rate, and William Buick gets in the saddle to ride MANTOOG for him. This unexposed daughter of Kingman looks to be going places, and can follow up the easy success at Salisbury last time out. She went through the gears nicely to get off the mark at the Wiltshire venue on Handicap debut and looks capable of defying a 7lb rise in the weights this time around. Off a mark of 84, she has the propensity to still be well treated, and with little mileage on the clock, she can make up into a smart sort. Ground conditions should be spot-on for her, and she can make it two wins on the spin
Haydock 4.10 – Raasel e/w
RAASEL has been a little unlucky this season, and although life will be difficult off 107, he arrives here on the back of running a belter in Group 2 company, when third to Highfield Princess at Goodwood last time out. Back into a Handicap company, he looks the each-way option off top-weight, and he should also benefit from the return to a quicker underfoot surface. Returning to this venue is clearly no bad thing – he is a previous C&D winner and has also gone close on another occasion, so this fast 5f is perfect for him. James Doyle has built up a great relationship with the spritely 6-year-old, and the Mick Appleby representative should be in the shake-up once again from an each-way perspective.
*Odds correct at time of publishing. Available to UK residents (excluding Northern Ireland) aged 18+ only. T&Cs apply. www.begambleaware.org