From the Trading Floor - Week 47

From the Trading Floor

Join Jay and DAZN Bet’s trading team as they bring you the pick of this week’s sports bets in “From The Trading Floor”

 

Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions – NFL – 17:00 – November 23

Thanksgiving Football is almost as much of a staple in US households as roast turkey, and this year there’s some cracking divisional NFL action on November’s fourth Thursday, no less so in the NFC North where the 4-6 Green Bay Packers travel to the 8-2 Detroit Lions.

The post-Aaron Rodgers Packers did get off to a fairly stable 2-1 start, but their recent run of five losses in their last seven has shown that there’s still a lack of synergy between Quarterback Jordan Love and the rest of the Green Bay team. They’re one of just four teams who are averaging less than a 60% pass completion rate, and Love certainly hasn’t been posting overly impressive figures during his time on the field. One link-up that has worked for Love though is with Romeo Dubbs. The wide receiver has scored 7 receiving touchdowns this season, with only two players scoring more so far during this campaign.

The Detroit Lions are just one victory away from matching their total wins from last year, and there are certainly a lot more positives offensively when looking at their season so far.

Experienced Quarterback Jared Goff is currently in his third season as their starter, having spent 5 years at the Rams previously, and he’s already passed for nearly 3000 yards this year. WR Amon-Ra St. Brown is one of the league leaders in terms of receiving yards, running back David Montgomery is also having a fairly solid season on the ground, picking up 8 touchdowns and just under 600 rushing yards, whilst the Lions have one of the best rush defences in the NFL having given up less than 1000 yards on the floor.

With the Packers coming up against a strong rush defence, and also with them not having a notable passing game, I am struggling to see anything other than a fairly convincing Lions victory coming out of this one, especially considering the contrasting form of both teams. There’s a lot to feel good about for Lions fans this season, and I can see them comfortably getting through this encounter by at least a two-score margin.

Traders’ Tip: Detroit Lions -7.5 @ 17/20. A £10 bet at these odds could return £18.50.

Sale Sharks v Bath – Gallagher Premiership – 19:45 – November 24

Friday night’s Gallagher Premiership action at the AJ Bell Stadium certainly gets the weekend off to a flying start, with league leaders Sale Sharks hosting second placed Bath.

Sale have clearly started the season in fine form, winning five of their opening six games, and will enter this fixture on the back of three straight victories over Newcastle, Bristol and Gloucester, all by margins of 14 or more.

This start has left the Greater Manchester club in a great position to prove that last season’s runners-up finish wasn’t a fluke, and they currently possess the most inform winger in the English top flight in Arron Reed, who has scored five tries in his last three outings, alongside England Internationals Ben and Tom Curry, fly-half George Ford, and the three vastly experienced South African du-Preez brothers.

Bath have won four of their six fixtures to date, and they have been more than competitive in every game so far. They followed up a 45-27 victory at Gloucester two weeks ago with a 20-19 win against Bristol last week to move ahead of Harlequins in to second place, with Scottish International Finn Russell scoring half of those points with his trusty boot. They aren’t necessarily littered with star power, but they seem to have a decent level of consistency when it comes to scoring points, they’ve scored at least 18 points in all games so far this season, with their two defeats coming by a margin of just one score.

Sale are fairly short priced favourites to win and, on paper, the hosts should have more than enough to come out on top, but the way that Bath seem to consistently keep their score ticking over makes me believe that they could be more than a match for the Sharks on Friday. Their strong run also extends to the back end of last season where they managed to finish the 2022/23 campaign with four straight victories, taking them to eight wins in their last ten Premiership games.

This makes the price on the visitors look a lot more appealing from a betting perspective, and I’ll be hoping for them to come out on top in what should be a closely fought encounter.

Traders’ Tip: Bath To Win @ 21/10. A £10 bet at these odds could return £31.

Manchester City v Liverpool – Premier League – 12:30 – November 25

Premier League action returns with a bang this weekend with the opening game early on Saturday afternoon being a mouthwatering encounter at the Etihad Stadium between Manchester City and Liverpool.

The two teams enter this round of fixtures occupying the top two spots in the table and, with just a single point separating them, and only three points between top and fifth spot, this seems like a crucial six point encounter even at this relatively early stage of the season.

Man City will be hoping to return to winning ways after their dramatic 4-4 draw at Stamford Bridge two weeks ago ended a run of five straight victories in all competitions. A return to the Etihad might be just what they need to get back on track though, especially given how they have won all 23 home games they have played during 2023. There’s a bit of uncertainly surrounding a few of their star player though with Erling Haaland not featuring in Norway’s most recent fixture against Scotland due to an ankle knock suffered a few days prior. His potential absence would be a massive blow to the hosts, who are still without both Kevin De Bruyne and John Stones due to long term injuries.

Liverpool seemed to have a bit of a wobble when following up a Premier League draw at Luton with a 3-2 defeat away to Toulouse in the Europa League, but they bounced back to winning ways with a 3-0 win at Anfield over Brentford last time out.

The Reds have lost just once in the Premier League this season, a 2-1 defeat away to Spurs in September, and manager Jurgen Klopp will be pleased that his attacking trio of Salah, Nunes and Jotta, who have combined for 27 goals this season, all came though the recent International break unscathed.

In any normal week it would be hard to ignore that impressive home record by Man City but, despite the fact that Alvarez has shown himself to be a more than capable striker, the doubt looming over Haaland is definitely a major deterrent in taking them to win this at odds-on.

I definitely feel like Liverpool have shown themselves to be more than a match for City over the last few years, in fact City have only won two of the last seven meetings between the two, and I don’t think that the hosts will get it all their own way here either. I’m not bold enough to say that they’ll leave Manchester with a victory, but I certainly think they’ve got more than enough to at least sneak a point from this fixture.

Traders’ Tip: Liverpool or Draw @ 21/20. A £10 bet at these odds could return £42.

 

Chantelle Cameron v Katie Taylor –  Approx. 23:00 – November 25

The 20th May 2023 was not a great day for Irish sport in Dublin.

Earlier in the evening Leinster lost a dramatic Champions Cup final to La Rochelle at the Aviva Stadium and only a few hours later on the other side of the river Liffey, Northampton’s Chantelle Cameroon ruined Katie Taylor’s homecoming with a majority decision victory at the 3Arena.

This weekend might be six months after that date, but there’s a slight sense of Déjà vu in the air. Leinster will once again be in action at the Aviva Stadium on one side of the famous Dublin river and, just a couple of kilometres north, Cameron and Taylor will exchanging blows for a second time this year.

Taylor entered that bout six months ago as arguably the finest women’s boxer on the planet, and she was expected to emerge victorious with a raucous home crowd behind her. A few hours later she had picked up her first professional defeat.

Fast forward to the present day and Katie now has the opportunity to atone for that night. She may not be ranked at the top of the women’s boxing game anymore, but Taylor has once again got the home advantage, she will likely feel less under pressure to produce (as opposed to six months ago), and she no longer needs to worry about preserving an unbeaten career.

I’m taking nothing away from Chantelle Cameron here, she’s now the one left standing with the undefeated record, and she’s dominated the super lightweight division for three years, but victory over Taylor was by far the biggest of her career, and she’ll have to be on the very top of her game if she wants to prevail once more.

However, having suffered that heartbreaking loss, and with the long overdue emotional return now in the past, I feel like we could see a much more determined Katie Taylor this time around, and I expect here to produce a much more convincing display as a result.

There was only one round between the two in their previous bout, and I can see a more focused Taylor turning the tables and getting her career right back on track by atoning for that loss in May with a points victory on Saturday.

Chantelle Cameron Vs Katie Taylor 2 Fight Preview

Traders’ Tip: Katie Taylor To Win By Decision or Technical Decision @ 15/8. A £10 bet at these odds could return £28.75.

 

Abu Dhabi Grand Prix – Formula 1 – 15:00 – November 26

We’ve finally reached the climax of the 2023 F1 season, with one last race awaiting us at the Yas Marina circuit in Abu Dhabi on Sunday.

Last weekend’s Las Vegas Grand Prix was a trip in to the unknown, and I personally felt it was the best race of the year so far.

Max Verstappen did manage to pick up his eighteenth victory of the season, but he was certainly made to fight for it ahead of Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc. Red Bull’s Sergio Perez also returned to the podium for the first time since Monza in September, whilst last week’s selection of Esteban Ocon managed to surpass a predicted top 10 finish by coming home in fourth place.

Tie the drama on the track in with the spectacle of racing around the streets of Sin City, and I really do hope that it becomes a more permanent fixture on the calendar, albeit with a bit of better planning over the timing of the sessions as a whole.

This weekend it may not feel like there’s too much on the line, apart from the prospect of a 19th Verstappen victory, but that doesn’t mean that I don’t expect to see another fun race in the Middle East to round off the season.

There’s no real reason to oppose Max Verstappen picking up the win this weekend, he’s won the curtain closer at Abu Dhabi in each of the last three seasons and I can’t see that changing on Sunday, so it’s once again a case of looking for an alternative selection and, to me, that looks to be sticking to last week’s winning formula of siding with Ocon placing inside the top 10.

He’s now placed in the points twelve times this season, with five points finishes in his last six outings. He’s been more than consistent in that regard during 2023, and he’s also managed a top ten finish here over the last three years, so it feels like he certainly has more than a fighting chance of performing well here once again at a fairly attractive price of evens.

Traders’ Tip: Esteban Ocon – Top 10 Finish @ Evens. A £10 bet at these odds could return £20.

 

A £10 5-Fold on the above selections could return £676.01.

 

*Odds correct at the time of publishing. Available to UK residents (excluding Northern Ireland) aged 18+ only. T&Cs apply. www.begambleaware.org

 

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