From the Trading Floor - Week 45

From the Trading Floor

Join Jay and DAZN Bet’s trading team as they bring you the pick of this week’s sports bets in “From The Trading Floor”

 

Manchester City v Young Boys – UEFA Champions League – Group G – 20:00 – November 8

Champions League football is the pick of the action during the week, and Tuesday night’s encounter between Manchester City and Young Boys offers the hosts an early chance to book their spot in the last sixteen.

City currently sit top of Group G with three wins from three and will secure their spot in the knockout stages with a victory over their Swiss opponents.

The two sides met two weeks ago, with Man City running out 3-1 winners in Bern, courtesy of two goals from Erling Haaland and a close-range finish from defender Manuel Akanji.

The hosts enter this one on the back of four straight victories, following their 1-0 defeat at Arsenal in the Premier League last month. Whilst Young Boys currently sit top of the Swiss Super League, with that defeat against Man City being their only loss in their eight games. The visitors have also scored in each of their last fourteen fixtures across all competitions.

However, it’s difficult to see them getting much against a Man City team who have now gone sixteen games without tasting defeat in this competition, and one that enters this fixture following a 6-1 Premier League victory over Bournemouth on Saturday.

City just seem to be a team that can score at will. Haaland already has thirteen goals from sixteen appearances this season, whilst Argentine forward Julian Alvarez also has seven goals to his name during the 2023/24 campaign.

If their last encounter is anything to go by, this should be another ninety minutes of pure Manchester City dominance and pressure. It should have been a much wider margin in Switzerland, with City registering 26 efforts on goal, thirteen of which were on target, including a couple of fine saves from Young Boys goalkeeper Anthony Racioppi, and I’ll be taking City to go at least one better than their two-goal margin a fortnight ago.

Traders’ Tip: Manchester City -2.5 @ 4/5. A £10 bet at these odds could return £18.

 

Arsenal v Sevilla – UEFA Champions League – Group B – 20:00 – November 9

Much like Manchester City on Tuesday night, Arsenal could also potentially book their spot in the knockout stages with a victory at home to Sevilla on Wednesday night.

The Gunners are currently top of Group B having picked up six points from their opening three fixtures, including a 2-1 success in Seville during the last round of fixtures. However, Arsenal won’t be entering this one in the best of form, having suffered back-to-back defeats away to both Newcastle and West Ham United.

Victory on Wednesday though, paired with a Lens victory over PSV, would see Arsenal through to the next phase of the competition with two games to spare.

Sevilla travel to London having won just three of their sixteen matches in all competitions so far this season. The 2022/23 Europa League winners may have taken Manchester City to extra time in the UEFA Super Cup at the start of the season, but their form to date has certainly been a cause for concern. They currently find themselves sitting 15th in LaLiga, just four points above the relegation zone and already 20 points off the top of the table.

Despite suffering those two recent losses, Arsenal should feel more than confident in picking up a victory here. The hosts haven’t lost at the Emirates so far this season, picking up five wins from seven home games, including a 1-0 victory over Manchester City and their most recent 5-0 success over Sheffield United.

Even though it’s a showdown between teams from arguably the top two leagues in European football, it’s hard to look past the Premier League team taking full advantage of an out of sorts Sevilla. They’ve been more than impressive at the Emirates and, with three clean sheets in their last four home fixtures, I’m taking them to get through this one with another win to nil.

Traders’ Tip: Arsenal To Win To Nil @ 5/4. A £10 bet at these odds could return £22.50.

 

Gloucester v Bath – Gallagher Premiership – 19:45 – November 10

I am expecting the Gallagher Premiership squads to be back to full strength this weekend following the recent World Cup. Making for an exciting weekend of English domestic Rugby Union.

Friday night’s fixture in the South West between Gloucester and Bath should prove to be a high-class encounter as a result as both teams look to improve on their relatively indifferent starts.

Gloucester started with successive victories, but have since lost back-to-back fixtures including last Friday’s 24-10 loss at Sale, which I was on the wrong side of.

I was expecting a bounce back to form for Gloucester in that fixture, but a late Freddie Thomas try didn’t really do anything but paint some gloss over another convincing defeat. It could have been an even worse margin for Gloucester, had George Ford not missed a handful of kicks on his return for the Salford-based club.

The thoughts now have to be whether or not their early promising start to the season was more of an overperformance, rather than the previous week’s defeat to Saracens being a minor dip in form.

Bath also head in to this fixture with an identical win-loss record, but their performances have been far more consistent in comparison.

As mentioned last week, their 24-25 defeat to Leicester came courtesy of a final play penalty. Whilst their most recent defeat to Northampton was by a margin of less than one score, as they couldn’t manage to muster up more than a lone penalty, despite a decent amount of attacking pressure, during the second half of that fixture.

Gloucester’s poor performance last week has done nothing but deter me from having much faith in their prospects here. It’s hard for me to get behind a team that have scored just one try in their last 200 minutes on the pitch with much conviction. Bath, meanwhile, have had much more success in that department, scoring at least two tries in each of their fixtures, and crossing for a total of 14 during their opening four games. I feel they are good enough to score around twenty points this weekend, and even that should be more than enough to see them get past the lowest point scorers of the season to date.

Traders’ Tip: Bath To Win @ 10/11. A £10 bet at these odds could return £19.09.

 

Bournemouth v Newcastle – Premier League – 17:30 – November 11

Regardless of Newcastle’s performance at Dortmund in the Champions League on Tuesday night, I just can’t ignore just how impressive they have been domestically in recent times.

The Magpies lost 3-1 to Brighton at the start of September, but since then they’ve gone on a run of nine domestic games unbeaten, including EFL Cup victories over both Manchester United and Manchester City, as well as their 1-0 success over Arsenal in the Premier League last weekend.

Their complete turnaround in form after losing three of their opening four Premier League fixtures has seen them jump right back in to the mix, sitting just four points off the top four places in sixth place, and also looking to continue their League Cup run when they travel to Chelsea in the Quarter-Finals next month.

Bournemouth, in contrast, have been completely out of sorts up to this point, and look like they’ll be spending this season battling for their Premier League survival. The Cherries have won just once in England’s top flight this term, a 2-1 success over fellow strugglers Burnley, and they’ll enter this fixture on the back of a 6-1 thumping away to Man City last weekend, a fifth defeat in their six games.

With these two teams entering this one in contrasting form, it’s hard to look past Newcastle leaving the south coast with anything less than three points. Manager Eddie Howe has put together a squad that’s more than capable of challenging for trophies once again this season and he’ll need to ensure that the Toon Army continue to pick up victories in these fixtures if they want to establish themselves as one of the big clubs in English football.

Having scored in their last four fixtures, I can see the Cherries getting themselves on the scoresheet, but ultimately I expect this to be in a losing effort.

Traders’ Tip: Newcastle To Win & Both Teams To Score @ 2/1. A £10 bet at these odds could return £30.

 

San Francisco 49ers @ Jacksonville Jaguars – NFL – 18:00 – November 12

The NFL regular season enters its’ 10th week and Sunday’s encounter at Jacksonville’s EverBank Stadium where the Jaguars host the 49ers is one with potential early play-off implications.

The hosts already hold a solid position at the top of the AFC South division with a 6-2 record at the effective halfway point, with all four teams having played eight of their sixteen regular season fixtures. They’re currently three wins ahead of the rest of the pack and victory over the 49ers would further strengthen their chances of securing a playoff spot, and also keep them in the hunt for top spot in the AFC conference alongside the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens.

The 49ers enter with a 5-3 record, level at the top of NFC West with the Seattle Seahawks. However, all of those losses have come in their last three games.

The losses to the Bengals, Vikings and Browns were all somewhat of a surprise for a team that had looked so strong during the early part of the season, and they’ll be hoping to reignite their own playoff aspirations when they make the long trip West from California to Florida for Sunday’s fixture.

Despite their five-game winning streak, the Jaguars are the team with the worst defensive record when it comes to passing. They average a concession of over 260 passing yards per game, and it’s going to be interesting to see how they manage to cope with the passing game of 49ers Quarterback Brock Purdy. Purdy battled back from a concussion scare to take to the field against the Bengals and still managed to make 365 yards in their losing 17-31 effort.

Both teams also boast two of the strongest rush defences in the NFL, a factor that’s likely to be more of a benefit for the Jaguars, given how strong the 49ers have also been in this department offensively.

The visitors are the team who will likely enter this one as the favourites, however, with a long trip ahead of them, and facing a side that have strung together a solid run of results. I feel it’s worthwhile taking the Jaguars to further strengthen their grip at the top of the AFC South.

Don’t forget that all games, as well as the NFL Red Zone, during the 2023 season can be seen live on the DAZN App and website with the DAZN NFL Game Pass.

Traders’ Tip: Jacksonville Jaguars To Win @ 23/20. A £10 bet at these odds could return £21.50.

 

A £10 5-Fold on the above selections could return £498.70.

 

*Odds correct at the time of publishing. Available to UK residents (excluding Northern Ireland) aged 18+ only. T&Cs apply. www.begambleaware.org

 

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