From the Trading Floor -Week 37

From the Trading Floor

Join Jay and DAZN Bet’s trading team as they bring you the pick of this week’s sports bets in “From The Trading Floor”

 

Scotland v England – International Friendly – 19:45 – September 12

Even though there are plenty of important Euro 2024 qualifiers on Tuesday evening it’s hard to overlook the historical significance of the friendly taking place at Hampden Park, where Scotland will host England for the 150th anniversary of the first-ever International Football match.

The sport has certainly evolved since that fixture back in 1872, The game finished 0-0 just in case your memory is a bit hazy, but the rivalry between Scotland and England has certainly continued to be fierce and this certainly feels like it is going to be played with a lot more passion than the ‘friendly’ moniker might suggest.

I believe that both of these teams are entering this fixture with the strongest squads they’ve had since at least the turn of the century. Scotland have possessed some great footballers over the past 30 years, the likes of Ally McCoist, Gary McAllister, Colin Hendry, Kenny Miller, Scott Brown and Christian Dailly were all mainstays in the Tartan Army’s line-up during this period, but their current batch plays like a well-oiled machine which has certainly proven that they can compete with the best that Europe has to offer.

A flying start of five wins from five in their Euro 2024 Group A qualifying campaign leaves Scotland as one of only three teams who still have a 100% record intact but, even more impressively, they could end the night as the first team to secure qualification for next summer’s tournament, should Norway and Georgia play out a draw in Oslo at the same time.

England couldn’t maintain their own 100% record following a 1-1 draw against Ukraine, but the Three Lions still maintain a healthy six point gap at the top of Group C, and four points from their last three fixtures against Italy, Malta and North Macedonia will also see them safely through, leaving both countries in a position of very little pressure ahead of this game on Tuesday night.

Scotland might not possess an Internationally renowned striker like Harry Kane, they might not have a young player in their squad that is expected to flourish to same extent as England midfielder Jude Bellingham, and they still might not be viewed as one of the favourites to win next summer’s tournament, but in the likes of John McGinn, Scott McTominay, Andrew Robertson and Kieran Tierney, they have an established team of top level players who are well versed in playing great team football, and fighting from the first minute to the final whistle of every single match.

We have two teams here who feel very well matched, Glasgow levels the playing field and leaves England needing to compete with not just the 11 players on the other side of the pitch, but also the best part of a passionate 50,000 strong crowd inside Scotland’s National Stadium.

I can’t separate the two based on recent form, so it feels logical to side with this ending with a similar outcome to the fixture at the West of Scotland Cricket Club on November 30th 1872 by taking a hard fought draw.

Traders’ Tip: Draw @ 11/4. A £10 bet at these odds could return £37.50.

 

France v Uruguay – 2023 Rugby World Cup – Pool A – 20:00 – September 14

Last Friday night we saw France kick-off their home Rugby World Cup in style with a 27-13 victory over New Zealand, and they should be well fancied to continue their impressive start when they face Uruguay at Lille’s Stade Pierre-Mauroy on Thursday night.

The hosts, inspired by the impressive kicking of Thomas Ramos, never let the All Blacks get a firm hold on the match and they ultimately ran out 14-point winners over the three-time World Cup winners as a result. It was a statement victory for Les Bleus on home soil, and they have certainly cemented their spot as one of the teams to beat at this year’s tournament.

Uruguay weren’t in action over the opening round of fixtures, but their own expectations will certainly be to avoid finishing bottom of Pool A, putting on a solid team display, and possibly hoping to cause an unlikely shock when facing Italy in a week’s time.

The Uruguayans shouldn’t really pose much of a threat to France as a result, but they have shown themselves to be far from pushovers against Rugby Union’s more established nations in recent years. 2021 saw them narrowly lose a friendly 17-10 to Italy, and they have also managed to accumulate respectable results against fellow Tier 2 nations over the past twelve months.

Despite the clear gulf in quality between the two teams, 58 points feels like a margin that Uruguay should be more than capable of staying within. The lack of physicality during the opening weekend may aid Uruguay in keeping the score respectable, and France will likely use this as a fixture for some slight rotation after their colossal win over New Zealand, and I don’t think the score is going to get too out of hand as a result.

Traders’ Tip: Uruguay +58.5 @ 17/20. A £10 bet at these odds could return £18.50.

 

Minnesota Vikings @ Philadelphia Eagles – NFL – 01:15 – September 15

We’re only a week in to the new NFL season and there’s already been plenty to talk about. The Dallas Cowboys completely blew the New York Giants out of the water with a 40-0 whitewash, the Packers began their life post-Rodgers with a 38-20 victory over the Chicago Bears, the Kansas City Chiefs lost a narrow opening fixture against the Detroit Lions to start their Super Bowl defence, whilst the Atlanta Falcons displayed an impressive rushing performance in overcoming the Carolina Panthers.

Week two will no doubt generate more talking points, and it gets underway late on Thursday when the Minnesota Vikings travel to the Eastern coast to face the much fancied Philadelphia Eagles.

Few teams were able to compete with the offensive strength of the Eagles last season, and it certainly looked like this was going to be the case once again after their blistering start against the Patriots, but their inability to continue their heavy scoring for the remainder of the game will no doubt be a focal point for head coach Nick Sirianni and offensive coordinator Brian Johnson ahead of Thursday night.

Philadelphia raced to a 16-0 lead at the end of the 1st quarter, but were pegged back during the second, taking a narrow 16-14 lead in to the Half Time interval. They were unable to cross for any further touchdowns, but the kicking of Jake Elliott was enough to help guide them over the line and ensure they started the season in a positive manner.

The Vikings went down 17-20 at home to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with a late 57-yard field goal from Chase McLaughlin proving to be the difference between the two teams in Minneapolis.

The Eagles will enter this fixture as strong favourites as a result, and they should be fancied to kick on from that opening round success at the expense of Minnesota. Running Back Miles Sanders, who now plays for the Carolina Panthers, is the only real notable absence from an Eagles offensive line-up that narrowly missed out on Super Bowl glory last season, and I feel like their first quarter from Sunday was enough to show me that they should be able to cover the 8.5 point line with a more clinical performance this week.

Traders’ Tip: Philadelphia Eagles -8.5 @ 19/20. A £10 bet at these odds could return £19.50.

 

Leicestershire v Hampshire – One Day Cup – Cricket – 11:00 – September 16

The end of the English domestic white ball cricket season is upon us as Leicestershire face Hampshire in the final of the One Day Cup at Trent Bridge this weekend.

Both teams had fairly routine victories in the semi-finals at the end of August, chasing down fairly mediocre totals with relative ease to set up Saturday’s showdown in Nottingham.

It will be a first appearance in a One Day Cup final for Leicestershire, but they have gone about booking their spot in style, losing just one of their eight Group A fixtures, before sealing a 6 wicket semi-final victory over Gloucestershire two weeks ago. Aussie wicketkeeper Peter Handscomb has been one of the more consistent players with the bat in recent fixtures, scoring three half centuries in his last 4 fixtures, on top of an unbeaten 49 in their semi-final victory. South African All-rounder Wiaan Mulder has also impressed with the bat during the course of the season, averaging just a shade under 75 during his time at the crease, whist the trio of Chris Wright, Josh Hull and Tom Scriven have combined for 45 wickets as part of one of the more potent overall bowling line-ups.

Hampshire will be looking to add to the trophy they won back in 2018, with their only loss during this season’s competition coming at the hands of Leicestershire when the two sides met at Southampton’s Rose Bowl last month. They wrapped up a nine wicket victory over Warwickshire in their semi-final, chasing down a modest total of just 93.

Hampshire possess a wealth of potentially match winning batsmen, with five of their top six batsmen all picking up centuries during the course of this season’s competition. American Ian Holland has been their top overall wicket taker, but the return of Liam Dawson to the squad after his spell with London Spirit during the Hundred has arguably had the biggest impact.

The England All Rounder picked up seven wickets in their semi-final, followed by a further seven wickets across both innings of Hampshire’s recent County Championship victory over Somerset and his inclusion on Saturday will no doubt be crucial to Hampshire’s cause.

Leicestershire may possess the more consistent performers amongst their squad, but there’s no doubt that Hampshire clearly have a line-up of players who each seem to have the ability to win this game on their own merit. Dawson is the one who makes all the difference for me here, he looks like he’s completely fired up at this moment in time, and his recent omission from England’s upcoming World Cup squad will surely add more fuel to his fire. His last two outings for his county have been match-winning performances, which is more than enough to convince me that Hampshire should realistically win this one.

Traders’ Tip: Hampshire To Win @ 1/2. A £10 bet at these odds could return £15.

Bournemouth v Chelsea – Premier League – 14:00 – September 17 

With the International break out of the way it’s a return to top flight domestic action in the Premier League this weekend and Sunday’s encounter at the Vitality Stadium between Bournemouth and Chelsea could be a tense affair.

Both teams have had a fairly disappointing start to the season. Bournemouth are winless in their opening four Premier League fixtures this campaign, stretching their winless run in the top flight to eight matches overall since a 4-1 success over Leeds back in April.

The Cherries look set to be in for a difficult 2023/24 campaign as a result, and a tricky looking run of fixtures against Chelsea, Brighton and Arsenal could see them potentially drop in to the relegation zone if results against those three don’t go their way either.

Despite the changes to management and new signings over the summer, Chelsea continue to blow hold and cold. Winning just one of their four games, a 3-0 success over new boys Luton, and losing to both Nottingham Forest and West Ham United.

It’s a Chelsea squad that once again looks like it should be producing results on the field, with a mounting injury list being a major contributing factor to their woes, it feels like Chelsea will be praying the likes of new striker Christian Nkunku and captain Reece James will be back sooner rather than later.

Raheem Sterling is the only player who has scored more than once this season for the West London club, however, they will be pleased that Argentine Enzo Fernandez, striker Nicolas Jackson and midfielder Carney Chukwuemeka have already scored their first Chelsea goals during the early stages of the season.

With no clear goalscoring option for the visitors and a potential relegation battle on the horizon for the hosts, it feels like this isn’t going to be a fixture filled with much in the way of goalmouth action. I can’t bring myself to back either side with much confidence given how they’ve started the season, and I’ve got to be fairly conservative and hope for a pretty low-scoring encounter on Sunday afternoon.

Traders’ Tip: Under 2.5 @ 5/4. A £10 bet at these odds could return £22.50.

 

A £10 5-Fold on the above selections could return £456.57.

 

*Odds correct at the time of publishing. Available to UK residents (excluding Northern Ireland) aged 18+ only. T&Cs apply. www.begambleaware.org

 

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