From The Trading Floor

Join Jay and DAZN Bet’s trading team as they bring you the pick of this week’s sports bets in “From The Trading Floor”

Australia v England –2023 FIFA Women’s World Cup – 11:00 – August 16

In a summer which felt like it was dominated by the drama of the Ashes, it seems almost poetic that Australia and England will be facing each other one more time, Football being the sport on this occasion, with a first appearance in a Women’s World Cup Final being the prize for one of these two teams on Wednesday morning.

Australia will be hoping to become the first hosts since the USA in 1999 to make it to the final, and their route to this stage definitely hasn’t been short on drama. Their 3-2 defeat to Nigeria in their second group game put them in real danger of being eliminated from the competition early, having underperformed and looking relatively short of inspiration.

They would follow this up with a convincing 4-0 victory over a well fancied Canada in their final group game, and a 2-0 win against Denmark in the Round of 16. Last Saturday’s penalty shoot-out success over France was full of incredible drama, with the Matildas eventually prevailing 7-6 after converting the 20th penalty of the shoot-out.

England’s path to the knockout stages was far less bumpy, winning all three games enroute to topping Group D, but they have definitely rode their luck during the knockout phase of the competition so far. They also required penalties when beating Nigeria in the Round of 16, but spent the entirety of Extra Time at a disadvantage following the dismissal of Lauren James towards the end of normal time. They then had to come from behind to prevail over Colombia in the Quarter-Finals, with the South American team proving to be an extremely tricky obstacle for the Lionesses.

Unlike the two teams in the other Semi-final, I haven’t been overly impressed by either Australia or England throughout this competition. Granted they both had an impressive end to their group stages, but I’ve seen them both struggle to create and convert chances for the majority of the tournament. There’s no denying that both teams have got plenty of talent at their disposal, but I am still not expecting this one to be full of end-to-end action.

It would seem that the odds on offer also back up my beliefs, with unders relatively short priced in the betting for goal related markets. This could easily be a game that’s decided by a single goal, so I’m going to side with England atoning for their 2-0 Friendly loss at the hands of Australia in April by emerging with the narrowest of victories on Wednesday. 

Traders’ Tip: England To Win 1-0 @ 9/2. A £10 bet at these odds could return £55.

 

Liam Graham v Cao Yupeng – Snooker – British Open Qualifying – 10:00 – August 17

The early stages of the 2023/24 snooker season continues this as Leicester’s Morningside Arena plays host to the qualifying round for the next months’ British Open. There’s plenty of action over the course of six days, with 48 best of seven matches taking place in total. Six time World Champion Jimmy White takes on Stephen Maguire in the final game on Saturday evening, whilst former World Champions Stuart Bingham and Graham Dott will also be in action during the course of the week.

Finding value during this stage of a competition, and so early on in a snooker season, can often be difficult, but one of the standout selections of the week looks like it could be in Thursday morning’s encounter between Scottish youngster Liam Graham and China’s Cao Yupeng.

At just 18 years of age, Graham could have a decent future ahead of him, but he’s still awaiting a breakthrough performance on the professional tour. His appearance in the recent Championship League was his first in a main draw at this level. He didn’t manage to progress from the first stage, but he will take some confidence in picking up a 2-2 draw against Peter Lines in his final group game.

Cao Yupeng had a decent run in the same competition, reaching the final group phase before bowing out with losses to Mark Williams, Sam Craigie and Noppon Saengkham. Yupeng has shown glimpses of quality during his nine years as a professional, but he often tends to lose composure when facing the more established players on the tour during the latter stages of competitions.

I’m sure Graham will improve with experience, and he’s definitely one of the young British hopefuls for the future, but I feel he’s likely to be in for a relatively swift exit from the competition.

Cao Yupeng is a strong favourite to win this encounter, which isn’t much of a surprise considering he picked up an impressive five centuries during the Championship League, and this is the kind of match in which Yupeng tends to excel. Cao should be able to progress with relative ease, and taking a whitewash certainly looks to be a viable option in terms of a decently priced scoreline.

Traders’ Tip: Cao Yupeng to win 4-0 @ 19/10. A £10 bet at these odds could return £29.

 

Ireland v England – Rugby Union – International Friendly – 17:30 – August 19

We are now less than a month away from the 2023 Rugby World Cup in France, and this Saturday will see the penultimate round of Friendlies taking place ahead of the start of next months’ tournament.

The encounter between Ireland and England at Dublin’s Aviva Stadium is definitely one of the standout fixtures in a historical sense, but the gulf between the two over the past year or so almost makes me feel like the two teams are worlds apart.

England look to be a team that struggle to find consistency, solid performances against New Zealand and Australia since the start of last year have been more than cancelled out by resounded defeats at the hands of France and South Africa, and recent games have seen them struggle to get the better of a Wales team that have had their own difficulties, both on and off the field, in recent times.

The frustration seems to resonate around the England camp as a whole at the moment, two red cards in their last three matches suggests that they lack confidence in basic departments on the field, and it’s leading to costly mistakes as a result. Their World Cup group is relatively kind, but head coach Eddie Jones will need to find a way to instil some belief in this squad if they want to progress deep into the tournament.

Ireland, by contrast, continue to show why they are heading in to the World Cup as the best ranked team in the world. They went the entire 2023 Six Nations campaign unbeaten, have beaten each of the three top Southern Hemisphere teams in their most recent encounters, and look well set to better their longstanding record of failing to progress beyond the Quarter Final stages. Their only fixture since claiming a Six Nations Grand Slam saw them ease to a 33-17 victory over Italy just under a fortnight ago, and they should be high on morale ahead of their World Cup opener against Romania at the start of September.

As far as this fixture is concerned, I can’t see any real reason to oppose the hosts. England might have pushed the Irish close during the final round of games in the Six Nations, losing 29-16, but you have to consider that there was added pressure on the Ireland to perform as the Grand Slam was on the line. Ireland can simply enjoy the game this time around and, I feel, this is when they are at their most dangerous.

Ireland have lost just once at home in the last four years, I can’t see an out of sorts England team changing that on Saturday, and I am fully expecting the Irish to run riot and pile yet more misery on their opponents in the process.

Traders’ Tip: Ireland -13.5 @ 9/10. A £10 bet at these odds could return £19.

 

Manchester City v Newcastle United – Premier League – 20:00 – August 19

So, how did everybody enjoy the first round of Premier League action? Considering how the weekend went, I am sure that the new additions to the top flight this season would have been hoping for a better start, considering that all three of Burnley, Sheffield United and Luton Town failed to pick up a single point.

At the top end of the table, Brighton seemed to pick up where they left off after picking up a 4-1 victory over Luton, but it’s hard to ignore just how strong both Manchester City and Newcastle looked during their opening victories.

Saturday will see both of these teams face off at the Etihad Stadium, and I, for one, am excited to see how a European dominating Manchester City fare against a constantly improving Magpies squad.

Newcastle managed to put five past Aston Villa on Saturday, including a brace from striker Alexander Isak, who certainly looks set to have a good season ahead of him if his two finishes at the weekend are anything to go by. I am expecting another Champions League challenging season for Eddie Howe’s men as a result, and their trip to Manchester could very well be an indicator of whether or not they have the ability to aim even higher during the 2023/24 campaign.

Manchester City opened the Premier League season with a 3-0 victory at Burnley on Friday night with last season’s record breaking striker, Erling Haaland, grabbing two goals. However, the treble winners have already been dealt a blow, with influential Belgian midfielder Kevin De Bruyne picking up a hamstring injury during the first half of their rout at Turf Moor.

Against any other opposition, I would probably give a firm nod to Newcastle, but City rarely let their supporters down, suffering just one home defeat in all competitions during the entirety of last season. Newcastle haven’t had much success there in recent years either, having lost each of their last 14 Premier League trips to the Etihad, but I do feel like they’re rapidly closing the gap between themselves and the Premier League elite.

I feel like this could be an instant classic and, with two in form strikers at either end of the pitch, we could see plenty of goals. I still think Man City will prove to be too strong, but there’s definitely value on offer in taking the hosts to prevail in a high scoring encounter.

Traders’ Tip: Man City To Win & Over 3.5 Goals @ 13/5. A £10 bet at these odds could return £36.

 

Canberra Raiders v Canterbury Bulldogs – Rugby League – NRL – 07:05 – August 20

The 2023 National Rugby League season heads towards the final three weeks of the regular season with twelve teams still hoping to secure one of the remaining six places in the finals series.

The 6th placed Canberra Raiders are one of those clubs hoping to take a huge step towards securing a place inside the top eight, and this weekend they’ll have a golden opportunity to move closer to qualification when they welcome the Canterbury Bulldogs to the GIO Stadium.

The Bulldogs had their own hopes of progressing from the ladder phase extinguished after suffering a defeat to the Newcastle Knights last weekend. It wasn’t so much of a battling performance either, as the Sydney club went out with a whimper with a humiliating loss already sealed when trailing 30-0 at half time.

Canberra’s season has somewhat stuttered over the past few weeks, with three losses from their last four, and they’ll be eager to get back to winning ways after their own 48-2 humbling at the hands of Melbourne Storm last Sunday.

With the visitors now playing for little more than pride, and the hosts desperately in need of a victory, it’s not surprising to see the Raiders installed as one of strongest favourites in the NRL this weekend. I certainly feel like seeing their season effectively ended last week will have been a huge blow to the Bulldogs, and Canberra will be determined to take full advantage of that fact on Sunday.

The Raiders have the worst points difference out of all the teams still in contention for the finals. Therefore, a resounding victory would be a welcome addition to their cause. I am expecting them not to hold back against the worst team, defensively, in the competition, and they should be able to cover the handicap relatively comfortably as a result.

Traders’ Tip: Canberra Raiders -9.5 @ 5/6. A £10 bet at these odds could return £18.33.

 

A £10 5-Fold on the above selections could return £2000.13.

 

*Odds correct at the time of publishing. Available to UK residents (excluding Northern Ireland) aged 18+ only. T&Cs apply. www.begambleaware.org

 

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