From The Trading Floor

Join Jay and Dazn Bet’s trading team as they bring you the pick of this week’s sports bets in “From The Trading Floor”

 

Spain Women v Zambia Women – FIFA Women’s World Cup – Group C  – 08:30 – July 26 

The 2023 FIFA Women’s World Cup enters the second round of group games this week, and there looks to be some value on offer in the Group C fixture between Spain and Zambia on Wednesday morning.

The expectation before the tournament was that there would be plenty of high scoring fixtures, with many of the first time nations suffering heavy defeats. However, the reality has been that a lot of these countries have more than held their own. The Republic of Ireland almost snatched a draw against co-hosts Australia, Haiti should have really got something from their 1-0 defeat to England, whilst Portugal were another debutant who were only narrowly defeated during their World Cup debut.

The same can’t really be said for African side Zambia though, who rarely threatened during their 5-0 defeat to Japan. It felt like it should have been a lot more though, with Japan having two goals disallowed along with a couple of other clear cut chances that they failed to capitalise on.

Things aren’t set to get much easier for the Zambians either, as their second group game sees them face a Spain team that eased to a 3-0 victory over Costa Rica. In all, Spain had 46 efforts on goal, with 12 of these being on target, and really should have won by a much larger margin as a result.

When these two meet on Wednesday I am expecting there to once again be plenty of goals, and with Zambia needing to resort to their third choice goalkeeper, Spain have every chance of scoring a sack full. 

Traders’ Tip: Over 5.5 Goals @ 5/4. A £10 bet at these odds could return £22.50.

England v Australia  – 5th Ashes Test – 11:00 – July 27 

The rain prevailed in Manchester last week as the fourth Ashes Test finished as a draw, meaning Australia will take home the Ashes courtesy of the current 2-1 scoreline in the series.

England will still have the chance to level the series outright when the two teams face off for the final time at the Oval on Thursday, but it will be a bitter pill to swallow for a team that have approached the series with positivity, and ran the Aussies close in every Test so far.

The 5th Test will likely feel like a bit of an afterthought as a result, both teams will enter the match unchanged, but I can’t see England having that fire ignited knowing that the series is effectively done.

I would have been happy to side with Australia as a result, but there’s plenty of inconsistency regarding the weather once more, with the potential of all five days being interrupted based on current predictions, so the draw could once again come in to play by default.

This means that I’ll be looking towards the Top Batsman markets for a selection this time around, and one player who seemed to be almost unaffected by the conditions last week was Australia’s Marnus Labuschagne.

The Aussie number three was the standout performer for the visitors with the bat, and he seemed to be more than happy to get stuck in for both of their innings in Manchester. Scoring a half century in the first innings, and picking up 111 during their dogged second innings rearguard on days three and four.

With little pressure on Australia, and the potential for similar conditions to those of last week, it wouldn’t surprise me to see Marnus shining once again and helping to guide Australia to a decent first innings total.   

Traders’ Tip: Top Australia 1st Innings Batsman – Marnus Labuschagne @ 3/1. A £10 bet at these odds could return £40.

England v Denmark – FIFA Women’s World Cup – Group D – 09:30 – July 28 

England will hope to almost guarantee their passage to the knock-out stages of the 2023 Women’s World cup on Friday morning when they take on Denmark in Group C.

Both the Lionesses and Denmark began their campaign’s with narrow 1-0 victories, but the results came on the back of very different expectations for both teams ahead of their opening games.

The pre-tournament belief was that England were likely to run riot on debutants Haiti, but I felt that Haiti were more than a match for the reigning European champions, and that England should have felt fortunate to leave the game with all three points.

Haiti had a couple of decent chances to get themselves on the scoresheet, whilst England seemed to lack that killer instinct shown by the likes of Japan, Spain, Brazil & Germany during the first round of fixtures. It should have been a lot more relentless from one of the pre-tournament favourites, but their intent on adding to their score only seemed to increase when Rachel Daly came on to the pitch in the last quarter of an hour.

Denmark had a fairly tame opening first half against China, but the game sparked in to life during the second period, with the Danes eventually scoring a winner in the 89th minute. It’s difficult to know what to expect from them on Friday as a result, but there was little to suggest that they are going to approach this game with plenty of attacking intent from the start.

Despite the fact that these two teams scored a plethora of goals during the qualifying phases, it feels like this could be a game which could be limited to only a handful of clear opportunities. England enter the fixture as the strong favourites, and they should have just about enough to pick up the three points, but I am expecting it to be another relatively tense affair for both teams. I’m going to have to side with a win to nil for the Lionesses as a result.

Traders’ Tip: England To Win To Nil @ 21/20. A £10 bet at these odds could return £20.50.

Australia v New Zealand – 2023 Rugby Championship – 10:45 – July 29

The final round of the Rugby Championship takes place on Saturday, as teams have their last competitive fixtures ahead of the 2023 World Cup in France in just over a month’s time.

New Zealand are firmly in the driving seat to claim the Rugby Championship title, having already dispatched of Argentina and South Africa ahead of their showdown with Australia on Saturday morning. Victory will seal the crown for the All Blacks, however, a bonus point loss may also be enough, depending on the result in the later match in Johannesburg.

Their 41-12 success in Argentina was a statement win for a team that had struggled to find form in recent times, and they followed that up with a convincing 35-20 victory over South Africa in Auckland a fortnight ago. In total New Zealand have amassed 11 tries across their two matches, with ten different players getting amongst the scorers, showing that they are more than ready for the trip to France at the start of September.

In contrast, Australia couldn’t have wished for a worse preparation ahead of their first game at the Stade de France against Georgia, losing both of their matches to South Africa and Argentina and looking likely to pick up the Wooden Spoon for the first time since it became a four team competition back in 2012 (although they did finish last during the tri-series in the absence of South Africa in 2020).

They were thoroughly routed by the South Africans in Johannesburg at the start of July, but the real shock for the Wallabies came during a frantic final twelve minutes against Argentina in Sydney two weeks ago.

With the score at 17-20 in favour of the visitors, Argentina would pull further clear courtesy of a converted Mateo Carreras try in the 69th minute. Australia would themselves strike back with two converted tries leaving them leading 31-27 heading into the final three minutes before a last minute score from London Irish flanker Juan Martin Gonzalez handed the Pumas a famous victory in Australia.

That defeat consigned the Aussies to their tenth defeat in twelve matches and in a very tough spot prior to the start of September’s showpiece. Their only consolation is that they should still be more than capable of progressing from a group containing Georgia, Portugal, Fiji and an out of sorts Wales side, but their chances of lifting the Webb Ellis Cup for a third time seems highly unlikely.

As far as this game is concerned, there’s very little cause for optimism in the Wallaby camp. They have won just one of the last ten meetings with the All Blacks, and they are facing a revitalized team that has gone their last nine games without a defeat.

New Zealand should have more than enough to claim a comfortable victory over Australia as a result, claiming their 20th Rugby Championship title in the process.

Traders’ Tip: New Zealand -12.5 @ 17/20. A £10 bet at these odds could return £18.50.

Belgian Grand Prix – Formula One – 13:00 – July 30 

The Formula One action continues to come thick and fast, and this Sunday will see our fourth race in five weeks when the Belgian Grand Prix gets underway at Spa.

Max Verstappen finished over half a minute ahead of the field in Hungary last week, showing that there really doesn’t seem to be any stopping the Red Bull driver in 2023, and it’s no surprise to see that he’s a very short price to pick up a third successive victory at Spa as a result.

This means that once again I’ll be looking elsewhere for a selection for this weekend’s race, following last week’s successful prediction of both Mercedes finishing inside the Top 6 in Hungary.

Logic would tell me not to change a winning formula, but I feel like there could be more value in siding with a Red Bull dominance instead, especially if last year’s result is anything to go by.

The 2022 race saw Max Verstappen emerge with a 17 second victory ahead of team mate Sergio Perez, despite starting from 14th due to changes to his vehicle, and it would be no surprise to see the Dutch star run out as a comfortable winner again based on his dominance this season.

Perez was able to land himself third place last week, and has finished alongside Verstappen on the podium in six of eleven races during 2023.

Both Red Bulls are nicely priced to finish on the Podium this week, and I feel like this could be the value bet for this weekend’s Grand Prix.

Traders’ Tip: Both Red Bull Drivers To Finish On The Podium @ 9/10. A £10 bet at these odds could return £19.

A £10 5-Fold on the above selections could return £648.52.

*Odds correct at the time of publishing. Available to UK residents (excluding Northern Ireland) aged 18+ only. T&Cs apply. www.begambleaware.org

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