From The Trading Floor

Join Jay and Dazn Bet’s trading team as they bring you the pick of this week’s sports bets in “From The Trading Floor”

England v Australia – 4th Ashes Test – 10:00 – July 19

Wednesday sees the start of the 4th Ashes Test, and England will feel like they are back in with a chance of regaining the Ashes following their 3-wicket win at Headingley two weeks ago.

That victory has seen England claw the best of 5 series score back to just a 1-2 deficit, and all eyes will now be on Manchester on Wednesday as the hosts look to level the score ahead of the final fixture at The Oval at the end of the month.

One player who will no doubt be received well will be Burnley-born James Anderson, who replaces Ollie Robinson as England hope to put pressure on the Aussie batsmen with a more attacking bowling line-up.

Anderson will be appearing on home soil as a result, having played his whole domestic career at Old Trafford for Lancashire, and England will be hoping that this familiarity with the ground will help their all-time leading wicket-taker produce yet another mesmerising performance.

The first three days could be almost as gripping as the previous fifteen in this Ashes series and should set up for yet another grandstand finish over the weekend. However, I once again fear that the outcome of this match, and ultimately the series, may be determined by factors off the pitch.

Early weather forecasts are predicting a typically rain-filled weekend in Manchester which is likely to eat up a large portion of the playing time on both the fourth and fifth day of the match, along with possible interruptions on each of the first three days of play too. Australia’s focus should therefore be on frustrating England with a solid batting performance for the best part of three days as simply avoiding defeat, by any means necessary, will be enough to see them regain the Ashes urn.

With the Aussies under no pressure to force a result out of this game, I don’t see them taking an overly aggressive approach. England may have a real sense of urgency from the start, but Australia know that they effectively just have to protect 20 wickets in order to avoid defeat.

I’ve got all three selections wrong during the first three games, but I’m hoping that I can finally get an Ashes winner at the fourth time of asking by siding with the draw.

Traders’ Tip: Draw @ 3/1. A £10 bet at these odds could return £40.

BET HERE

England Women v Australia Women – Women’s Ashes – 3rd ODI – 13:00 – July 19

Much like the Men’s edition, it has been an incredibly tense Women’s Ashes series too, and it felt like every match could really have gone either way entering their closing stages.

Following their victory at Bristol on Wednesday, which levelled the series score at 6-6, Nat Sciver-Brunt had managed to claw England to within one big shot of victory on Sunday evening, a win which would have put England within reach of reclaiming the Ashes.

Needing 5 runs to win off the final ball, Sciver-Brunt was unable to haul a slog sweep off Jess Jonassen to the boundary, handing Australia a three run victory, and an unbeatable 8-6 lead in the series.

England will now enter the final match of the Ashes knowing that a victory will at least level the series as a whole, but it still won’t be enough to prevent Australia from taking the Ashes home.

The feeling I have is that England will be entering this final game very much dejected from the recent defeat, whilst Australia will know that they can once again play without any added pressure, and that could be an ominous sign for the hosts.

Elysse Perry seemed like she was almost going to canter her way to a century in Sunday’s game, but her increased level of aggression during the closing stage of the Australia innings meant that she holed out on 91 when trying to slog a ball from Sophie Ecclestone over the long-off boundary. However, she’s been fairly consistent with bat in hand over the last couple of weeks, top scoring for the Aussies in the final two T20s, and adding 41 in the first ODI to her top score from Sunday.

I feel like now the pressure is back off, Perry can once again focus on scoring runs without the worry of needing to accelerate the scoreboard. This makes her an even more dangerous proposition, as shown in the final two T20 matches, and I can see her scoring heavily once more as a result.

Traders’ Tip: Top Australia Batter – Elysse Perry @ 3/1. A £10 bet at these odds could return £40.

BET HERE

The Open Championship 2023  – 06:00 – July 20

With Wimbledon out of the way, the focus of the British sporting calendar will switch to the Wirral Peninsula later this weekend for golf’s 151st Open Championship.

Last season’s event came from the famous St Andrews course where Cameron Smith prevailed with a score of twenty under, one shot clear of American Cameron Young. The Aussie’s 72-hole score was a record-equalling total for a British Open Championship, and we’ll be hoping for plenty more solid scores at Royal Liverpool when the tournament begins early on Thursday morning.

It will be the third time that the Open has been played at Hoylake since the start of the century. Tiger Woods won the tournament here in 2006, whilst Rory McIlory won by two strokes back in 2014.

It will be McIlroy that I’ll be taking to lift the Claret Jug once again this year, especially considering his recent solid form. The Northern Irishman was a runner-up in last month’s US Open in Los Angeles, and he emerged victorious following an 18th-hole birdie in the final round at the Scottish Open last week. Rory also comfortably leads the way in terms of average driving distance on the PGA Tour and having that long drive will more than suit his game on the fairly open Hoylake course.

I’d also like to give a mention to last year’s Open runner-up Cameron Smith who also has the game to be a contender at a decent enough price this weekend, along with Korean golfer Byeong-Hun An, but Rory is definitely the one to beat, and I can see another solid performance from Rory McIlroy over the course of this weekend. 

Traders’ Tip: Rory McIlroy To Win @ 13/2. A £10 bet at these odds could return £75.

BET HERE

England v Haiti – FIFA Women’s World Cup – Group D – 10:30 – July 22

England will be getting their World Cup campaign underway in Brisbane on Saturday morning, and they’ll be hoping for a comfortable start to the tournament when they take on the Caribbean nation of Haiti.

The Lionesses are the reigning European Champions, following their Wembley success at Euro 2022, and they will no doubt be feeling optimistic ahead of this campaign too.

Seven of the players who started their 2-1 victory over Germany two years ago will be part of the squad in Australia and New Zealand. However, they have to make do without striker Beth Mead, who was the joint-top scorer at Euro 2022, as well as Chelsea forward Fran Kirby, as both will be missing out on playing at the World Cup due to injuries.

Despite the absences, there’s still plenty of fire-power in the England squad. Aston Villa’s Rachel Daly has been shifted from left-back to striker during the course of the past year and ended up being the top-scorer in last season’s WSL as a result. Whilst the quartet of Alessia Russo, Georgia Stanway, Ella Toone and Lauren Hemp have hit double figures for England, and are all still under the age of 25.

Haiti isn’t a country I can really attest to knowing much about in a footballing sense, but their squad is primarily made up of players based in either France or USA, and they boast a dangerous-looking forward trio of Batcheba Louis, Nerilla Mondesir and Roselord Borgella, who have combined for a total of 61 international goals to date.

There’s likely to be an expectation for England to produce a convincing display on Saturday, but Haiti have definitely shown they can be more than competitive over the last couple of years. They beat Mexico and Chile in order to reach the World Cup, both of whom are ranked inside the top 50 teams in the world, whilst their most recent outing saw them lose a friendly against South Korea, who are ranked 17th in the world, by a narrow 2-1 margin.

As far as this fixture is concerned, I do expect England to win, but I also believe that Haiti can at least make the scoreline respectable. Recent friendly results for the Lionesses have been far from convincing, and I think it may take them a while before they finally find their feet in this year’s tournament.

Traders’ Tip: Haiti +3.5 @ 5/6. A £10 bet at these odds could return £18.33.

BET HERE

Hungarian Grand Prix – Formula One – 13:00 – July 23

If the prospect of a Sunday filled with the climax of both the 3rd Ashes test and The Open Championship sounds far too pedestrian, then the fast pace of the Hungarian Grand Prix might be the more exciting choice for Sunday afternoon.

Let’s be brutally honest though, there’s no legitimate way anyone would dare oppose Max Verstappen claiming yet another victory in a season where it feels like he’s got the difficulty set to ‘very easy’ mode.

Verstappen has claimed eight of the ten races so far this season and, with twelve races still to go, he’s well on course to beat the record of most wins in a single F1 season. That record currently stands at 15, and it was set last season, by Verstappen.

Despite the competition for the Drivers’ Championship feeling like a bit of a procession at the moment, there’s still plenty of battles going on behind the runaway leader.

The Red Bulls might as well take the Constructors Title home already, but British duo of Hamilton and Russell at Mercedes continue to chip away as the ‘best of the rest’, both managed to finish in the top 5 at the British Grand Prix, extending their grasp on second spot following the Silverstone struggles of both Aston Martin and Ferrari.

McLaren’s British driver Lando Norris, meanwhile, seems to have found an extra gear in his engine, after he followed up a fourth place finish at Austria’s Red Bull Ring with only his second ever F1 runner-up finish a fortnight ago at the British Grand Prix. Norris’s team mate, Australian Oscar Piastri, also managed his best performance during his F1 career at Silverstone, finishing between Hamilton and Russell in fourth place.

The Hungarian Grand Prix, however, has recently been a stronghold for the three main Constructors, and that’s something which should continue this weekend.

Mercedes have shown a fairly decent level of consistency at the Hungaroring in recent times as both of their drivers have finished inside the top 6 in five of the last seven years. That was also the case for both Lewis Hamilton and George Russell at Silverstone two weeks ago.

The odds on offer for both finishing inside the top six once again this weekend is an even money shot, which seems fairly tempting considering their past record here, and it’s difficult for me not to side with the British duo placing highly once more.

It also might be worth noting that it’s been seven years since they failed to have a driver on the podium, and they had both drivers on the podium here in 2022, 2020 and 2016, a repeat of that outcome is 10/1 on Sunday.

Traders’ Tip: Both Mercedes Drivers To Finish In The Top 6 @ Evens. A £10 bet at these odds could return £20.

 BET HERE

A £10 5-Fold on the above selections could return £4,400.

 

*Odds correct at the time of publishing. Available to UK residents (excluding Northern Ireland) aged 18+ only. T&Cs apply. www.begambleaware.org

 

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