From The Trading Floor

Join Jay and Dazn Bet’s trading team as they bring you the pick of this week’s sports bets in “From The Trading Floor”

England Women v Australia Women – Women’s Ashes – 1st ODI – 13:00 – July 12

Wednesday will see the start of the three-match ODI series at Gloucestershire’s County Ground and presents the hosts with a golden chance of levelling the Women’s Ashes series with a victory, something that would have seemed almost unthinkable seven days prior.

The series looked to be as good as finished after the first two matches, with Australia taking a 6-0 lead in terms of points, leaving them needing to win just one of their remaining five short format matches to regain the trophy. However, England’s Women have fought back valiantly against Australia over the past two T20 Internationals, initially by inflicting Australia with their first T20 defeat in over two years at the Oval last Wednesday, before chasing down a revised total of 119 at Lord’s on Saturday night to close the gap once more.

This first ODI not only gives England a chance to capitalise in their upturn of momentum, but it’s also an opportunity for the visitors to press the reset button with the change of format. England still effectively need a whitewash to claim the Ashes, 2-0 would suffice, but any defeat would return the trophy to Australia, and the last time they failed to win a single ODI during a series was during the 2009 Ashes.

Despite this, England will continue to fight, and it’s a matter of who’s going to have the courage to step up to the Aussies and give England a chance of victory. I have a good feeling it could be the experienced shoulders of Tammy Beaumont who gives them that platform when the hosts come to bat.

Tammy was absent from the T20 series, but is set to be welcomed back into the team for the first ODI, and should definitely be the one to watch after her scintillating double-century put England in a solid position during the sole Test match at the end of June.

Beaumont may have missed the three T20 games, but she did return to domestic cricket in order to prepare for the 50-over format, scoring an unbeaten 83 for The Blaze during their victory over the Northern Diamonds in the Rachel Heyhoe Flint Trophy last Friday. I am hoping this form will carry over to Wednesday, where I believe she could be the one to top England’s scoring chart once again, in what should be yet another enthralling match in this gripping series.

Traders’ Tip: Top England Batter – Tammy Beaumont @ 3/1. A £10 bet at these odds could return £40.

BET HERE

Genesis Scottish Open – 08:00 – July 13

This weekend’s Scottish Open provides the last stop before Golf’s top players travel south to Hoylake for next week’s final major of the season, the 2023 Open Championship.

The Renaissance Club course has hosted the tournament for the past five years, and it’s provided a pretty mixed bag of winners during that time. The 2022 edition was won by Xander Schauffele, and the American enters this year’s tournament as one of the front runners, as he bids to build momentum towards his first attempt at Royal Liverpool the following Thursday.

The two favourites for the event are world number one Scottie Scheffler, and Northern Ireland’s Rory McIlory. The former failed to make the cut here last year, but has finished fifth or better in eight of his last ten PGA tournaments, including victory at The Players Championship back in March. Whilst Rory has picked up top 10 finishes in each of his last five events, including finishing runner-up to Wyndham Clark at last month’s US Open.

I am quite fond of consistency when it comes to these kinds of events, and my interest this week is going to lie with Englishman Matt Fitzpatrick continuing his decent run of form in Scotland.

Fitzpatrick has had a fairly indifferent season so far, winning the RBC Heritage in April and placing top ten in both The Masters and the Memorial over the past few months, but he also failed to make the cut in both the Players Championship and the PGA Championship during that time. However, he has shown a real fondness for the Renaissance course. He was runner-up to Lee Min Woo in 2021, finished 6th last year, and also picked up top 20 finishes in both 2019 and 2018.

The 2022 US Open champion is slightly above evens to land another finish inside the top 20 this year, which is quite a tempting price considering he’s achieved that feat four times in his five previous appearances at this course.

Traders’ Tip: Matthew Fitzpatrick – Top 20 Finish @ 23/20. A £10 bet at these odds could return £21.50.

BET HERE

Huddersfield Giants v Wakefield Trinity – Super League  – 19:45 – July 14

The 2023 Super League season enters the final third of the season this weekend, and there’s still plenty to play for at both ends of the table.

Catalans continue to lead the way at the top, with Leigh continuing to surpass their pre-season expectations by sitting two points behind in second place. Whilst at the bottom end of the table Wakefield Trinity finally picked up their first victory of the season against Leeds, after beginning the campaign with fourteen straight losses.

Wakefield might still be rooted to the foot of the table, and in real danger of facing relegation to the Championship for the first time this century, but they have since followed that success against the Rhinos with two further victories their past three games.

This weekend the former Wildcats make the short trip west to face fellow West Yorkshire club Huddersfield Giants, who find themselves just six points above a resurgent Wakefield after losing four of their last five matches, all of which have come away from the John Smith’s Stadium.

Friday’s fixture will see a return to home soil for the Huddersfield for the first time since a 20-4 victory over Castleford at the end of May, and Giants fans will no doubt be hoping for a successful homecoming when the two struggling teams meet.

The hosts enter the fixture on the back a shock 22-14 victory in Perpignan against Catalans over this past weekend, and that surprise win will hopefully reignite their season ahead of a run of three winnable games, all against teams currently outside of the play-off places, starting with this fixture against Wakefield.

Although the Giants are the rightful short-priced favourites ahead of the encounter, there definitely looks to be value in siding with this one being a fairly low scoring game.

Both teams have struggled to score points this season, with Castleford being the only team outside of these two averaging a scoring rate of less than 15 points per game, whilst the Giants also boast a fairly decent defensive record at home this season too. None of their seven home matches have seen more than 42 points, whilst Leigh and Warrington are the only teams who have managed to score over 14 points when visiting the John Smith’s Stadium.

Seeing a line of 43.5 definitely looks fairly high for me, especially considering the fact that Huddersfield edged out an 8-0 victory at Wakefield when the two teams met earlier in the season, I’ll definitely be taking the unders, and hoping for another tense affair as a result.

Traders’ Tip: Under 43.5pts @ 17/20. A £10 bet at these odds could return £18.50.

BET HERE

Essex Eagles v Hampshire Hawks – T20 Blast Semi-final – 11:00 – July 15

After watching two thrilling quarter-final games involving both Essex and Somerset last weekend, I am more than looking forward to this Saturday’s T20 Blast Finals day at Edgbaston.

On a day where all four teams originated from the Southern Group of the competition, Saturday’s first semi-final sees the Essex Eagles face Hampshire Hawks, with the victors facing the winners of match between Somerset and Surrey in the final, later in the evening.

Essex looked to be coasting towards victory against Birmingham Bears last Thursday but almost managed to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory during a dramatic final couple of overs.

With the Eagles looking fairly comfortable at 161/6 after 18 overs, and needing just 7 runs to win from the remaining twelve deliveries, Bears bowler Dominic Drakes managed to grab the wickets of both Dan Lawrence and Simon Harmer, who had put on a seventh-wicket stand of 25, to leave Essex needing six to win off the final over. Shane Snater’s six off the penultimate ball would eventually steer the Eagles home, but it was ultimately much closer than it really should have been for the Southern club.

Their opponent’s route to the semi-finals was much more straightforward. A solid bowling performance to restrict Worcestershire to 100, including a four-wicket haul from right armer Nathan Ellis, left Hampshire with a fairly routine run chase, which they easily chased down with 27 balls to spare. It was a more than comfortable performance from a Hawks side who will feel fairly confident that they could emerge from Saturday as the first team to claim back-to-back T20 Blast trophies, following their dramatic one run victory over Lancashire in last season’s final.

This opening encounter definitely looks like it could be another close one between the two teams, considering both boast plenty of batting prowess. Hampshire’s James Vince almost certain to finish as the top scorer in this season’s competition. Whilst Essex’s Dan Lawrence definitely looked to be in determined form, following his score of 62 against Birmingham.

I wouldn’t really want to say which way this one is going to go as a result, but I do feel that James Vince is a worthy favourite to lead the batting charge once again for the Hawks.

Vince has finished as Hampshire’s top batsman seven times in this season’s Blast, two of which came in both of their fixtures against the Eagles during the group phase. He has shown that excels in this format, currently lying 14th in the list of all-time top scorers in T20 matches, and it’s difficult to look past him continuing his fine run of form against Essex on Saturday.

Traders’ Tip: Top Hampshire Batter – James Vince @ 21/10. A £10 bet at these odds could return £31.

BET HERE

Somerset v Surrey – T20 Blast Semi-final – 14:30 – July 15

I mentioned last week how I felt that Somerset had a real chance of ending their 18 wait for the trophy, and Friday night’s victory over Notts was a clear sign of why they have such strength within their ranks.

Firstly, I was impressed at how Somerset were able to restrict Notts to a score of 157 on a ground that has seen plenty of runs during this year’s competition. It should have led to a fairly routine chase for Somerset, but there was cause for concern when they were reduced to 62-5 following the dismissal of Tom Abell in the 10th over. However, I was then shown why Somerset managed to win 12 of their 14 group games, as the sixth wicket stand between captain Lewis Gregory and all-rounder Ben Green guided their team over the line with three balls to spare. It was a dogged display from two batsmen who are representing a team that is clearly oozing with confidence in their own ability, there was little sign of panic, and it was another indicator of the true depth of their batting line-up.

Surrey themselves also looked impressive in their 13 run quarter-final victory over Lancashire at Old Trafford. The hosts were just three wickets down entering the last two overs of their pursuit of 188, but the typically solid bowling of the experienced T20 duo Chris Jordan and Sunil Narine made scoring runs difficult for Lancashire, who never really looked like winning after the dismissal of Jos Buttler midway through the 11th over.

This has left us with what should be a classic encounter in Birmingham on Saturday, yet it amazes me to see that it’s Somerset who are currently the underdogs to make it to the final. Granted, Surrey are one of the two teams who have beat Somerset during this year’s competition, but Somerset are still a team that has lost just three of their last twenty matches in this format and should still be considered the team to beat.

It should be close, but I think that Somerset have shown they have more than enough to get through.

Traders’ Tip: Somerset To Win @ Evens. A £10 bet at these odds could return £20.

BET HERE
 

A £10 5-Fold on the above selections could return £986.42.

 

*Odds correct at the time of publishing. Available to UK residents (excluding Northern Ireland) aged 18+ only. T&Cs apply. www.begambleaware.org

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