From The Trading Floor

Join Jay and Dazn Bet’s trading team as they bring you the pick of this week’s sports bets in “From The Trading Floor”.

 

Israel U21 v England U21 – UEFA Euro U21 2023 – 17:00 – July 5 

The Semi-final stages of the 2023 Euro U21 competition gets underway on Wednesday, and the first game of the evening will see England face Israel for a spot in Saturday’s final in Batumi.

Israel broke the hearts of hosts Georgia in the Quarter Finals, as they progressed to the final four courtesy of a penalty shootout in front of a 44,000 strong crowd in the Georgian capital of Tbilisi.

It’s an extremely impressive run for a country that entered the tournament as the second lowest ranked team, but they managed to exceed all expectations in overcoming both Germany and the Czech Republic in the group stages, and they will feel confident that they can lift their games once more when they face an impressive looking England team on Wednesday.

Now, I’m not going to ignore the fact that I have opposed England in the last two articles, firstly I thought they would be overpowered by the Czech’s, I was wrong, secondly I thought they were going to be weakened by their heavy rotation against Germany, I was wrong… again.

I feel like I now need to take this Young Lions team very seriously ahead of their semi-final tie with Israel. There’s an opportunity for them to reach their first final since 2009, and they have certainly shown that they are more than capable of putting in a professional display up to this point.

England are yet to concede in this tournament, and they had looked almost unbeatable until their bar was rattled during the second half of their 1-0 quarter final victory against Portugal. Germany did provide a slight flurry of chances during their final group game, but England were already 2-0 up by that point.

I won’t be taking anything away from England this time around, they beat Israel 2-0 during the group stages just under two weeks ago, and I will be siding with them winning to nil once again on Wednesday as a result.  

Traders’ Tip: England To Win To Nil @ 21/20. A £10 bet at these odds could return £20.50.

BET HERE

England v Australia – Ashes 3rd Test – 11:00 – July 6 

If the first two Test matches of the series are anything to go by, this Thursday will be the start of another classic encounter between England and Australia, which could culminate with another gripping final day of action in the third Ashes Test at Headingley.

The second Test looked set to be heading towards a convincing Australian victory before the start of play on Sunday, but Ben Stokes, seemingly angered by the controversial dismissal of Johnny Bairstow during the morning session, scored an impressive 155 to put England within reach of a very unlikely win. He would ultimately fall with England still 70 runs short, but it was another battling performance in a Test match that could have gone either way.

England are now left with a mountain to climb as a result, needing to win all three of the remaining Tests in order to regain the Ashes. I’ve been tripped up twice already with the match betting during this series, so I’ve decided to take a look elsewhere this week.

Mitchell Starc missed the first Test of the series for the Aussies, but his inclusion ahead of Boland in the second was very much merited as the left arm bowler picked up six of the 20 England wickets to fall during the match, including the vital early wickets of both Zak Crawley and Ollie Pope during England’s fourth innings chase.

I am expecting Starc to have a critical role in Australia’s bowling attack once again this weekend, especially in the absence of offbreak bowler Nathan Lyon following his calf injury during the second Test. Todd Murphy will be expected to make his Ashes debut as a result, and would fill the void in terms of spin, but Starc will no doubt be utilized once again as an opening quick bowler and an experienced pair of shoulders to lead their bowling line.

Starc was the Aussies Top Bowler during England’s first innings in the last test, and I’m more than tempted to side with him leading the way once again at Headingley. 

Traders’ Tip: Top Australia 1st Innings Bowler – Mitchell Starc @ 3/1. A £10 bet at these odds could return £40.

BET HERE

Somerset v Notts Outlaws – T20 Blast Quarter Finals – 18:30 – July 7 

The cricketing action continues this weekend with three Quarter Final fixtures from England’s premier T20 competition taking place on Friday Evening.

One of the most exciting ties of the last eight should come at the County Ground in Taunton, where Somerset will host the Notts Outlaws for a place in Finals Day at Edgbaston on July 15th.

Notts have been one of the more consistent teams in T20 Blast history, reaching at least the quarter finals in 12 of the last 14 seasons, and they have twice gone on to win the competition over the last six years. A lot of expectation will again be on the visitors to perform well, especially with a batting line up that contains big hitters in Alex Hales, Joe Clarke and Tom Moores, whilst left arm fast bowler Shaheen Afridi has been one of the leading bowlers in the competition this season, taking 22 wickets from 14 games.

Somerset, however, have enjoyed a record breaking season up to this point, winning the Southern group at a canter, and becoming the first team in Blast history to pick up twelve wins during the group phase. They seem to have an all-round strength in their squad, scoring over 200 runs on three separate occasions, including 221 in the first innings of their final group game against Kent last Saturday night. Whilst right armer Ben Green leads the bowling charts, having taken 26 wickets from 14 games this season, with New Zealander Matt Henry not too far behind with 22.

The dominance of Somerset in T20 competition so far this season is difficult to ignore, and it certainly feels like they should get the better of the Outlaws as a result. Somerset have lost just three times in their previous nineteen T20 games, stretching back to the end of June 2022, including scoring a colossal 265/5, a T20 Blast record, in last season’s quarter final victory over Derbyshire. They haven’t won the competition since their maiden victory back in 2005, but it feels like they have a real chance of ending that drought this year and it’s hard to look past them making light work of the Outlaws this weekend, especially with home advantage.

Traders’ Tip: Somerset To Win @ 6/10. A £10 bet at these odds could return £16.

BET HERE

Argentina v New Zealand – 2023 Rugby Championship – 20:10 – July 8

This weekend the eleventh edition of the Rugby Championship gets underway as the four biggest International squads in the southern hemisphere make one final push for momentum ahead of September’s World Cup in France.

South Africa and Australia will get the competition underway in Pretoria earlier in the evening, but the match in South America between Argentina and New Zealand feels like it could be a much more entertaining watch.

Argentina have pretty much taken ownership over the wooden spoon since their inclusion back in 2012, having finished bottom of the group on nine occasions, but there’s still every reason for optimism amongst the Pumas camp.

Last year was no exception to the status quo, however, they did manage to pick up two victories from their six matches, including an impressive 25-18 win over the All-Blacks in Christchurch. New Zealand would bounce back a week later by hammering Argentina 53-3 in Hamilton, but they will still head to Mendoza knowing that this Argentinian team has beaten them before.

It’s also a success that Argentina will be hoping to draw upon, however, they have suffered four losses in five games since that drubbing, including losses to Scotland and an out of sorts Wales squad.

New Zealand enter this encounter as solid favourites, and it feels like they’re going to need to produce a strong display in order to get their World Cup preparations started on the right foot.

That defeat to Argentina in August seemed to be a catalyst for the Kiwis, with the All-Blacks entering this meeting unbeaten in their last seven, including a 25-25 draw in their last outing against England last November.

Although Argentina have shown that they can push teams to their limits their defeats tend to be by relatively comfortable margins, with thirteen of the fifteen losses they have suffered over the last two years being by more than a two score deficit.

The Pumas are giving away a 13.5 point advantage on the Handicap line this weekend and, given they are firm favourites to lose, it feels relatively logical to side with New Zealand covering that margin once again this Saturday.

Traders’ Tip: New Zealand -13.5 @ 5/6. A £10 bet at these odds could return £18.33.

BET HERE

British Grand Prix – Formula One – 14:00 – July 9 

After another routine win for Max Verstappen in Austria on Sunday, the Formula 1 action continues this weekend as the teams head to Silverstone for the British Grand Prix.

It was a seventh victory of the season for the Red Bull ace who has already established an 81 point lead at the top of the Drivers’ Championship, so it’s no surprise to see Verstappen once again installed as a heavy pre-race favourite ahead of the trip to Northamptonshire. Max has never won the British Grand Prix as a Formula One driver (although he did win the 70th Anniversary Grand Prix at Silverstone in 2020), but even that is not enough to convince me that the Dutchman won’t emerge victorious one again this weekend. Therefore, it’s probably best to search for some form of value elsewhere in the betting.

Unsurprisingly, there is a driver that has been a standout performer at the British Grand Prix over his F1 career, and that is none other than Lewis Hamilton.

The Mercedes driver has finished on the podium in each of the last nine British Grand Prix, claiming seven victories, he was also runner-up to Verstappen in the 70th Anniversary Grand Prix, showing that it’s definitely a track on which he is more than comfortable racing.

Despite the threat of the Ferrari’s and Fernando Alonso’s Aston Martin, we can still expect a solid performance from the British driver. Hamilton has claimed three podiums and three fourth place finishes from his nine races this season, so taking him at even money to land at least a top three finish once more looks to be a very solid alternative option for this Sunday’s race. 

Traders’ Tip: Lewis Hamilton To Finish On The Podium @ Evens. A £10 bet at these odds could return £20.

BET HERE

A £10 5-Fold on the above selections could return £481.07.

 

*Odds correct at the time of publishing. Available to UK residents (excluding Northern Ireland) aged 18+ only. T&Cs apply. www.begambleaware.org

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