From the trading Floor Week 26

From The Trading Floor

Join Jay and DAZN Bet’s trading team as they bring you the pick of this week’s sports bets in “From The Trading Floor”

 

Portugal U21 v Belgium U21 – UEFA Euro U21 2023 – 17:00 – June 27

The group stages of the tournament will draw to a close during the early part of this week, and one of the most intriguing ties on Tuesday night sees Portugal taking on Belgium in a potential “Winner takes all” tie in Group A to book a spot in the Quarter Finals this weekend.

Co-hosts Georgia have been the surprise package of the group stages so far, currently sitting at the top of Group A on four points from two matches, despite being the outsiders to top the group at the start of the tournament.

As a result of a 2-0 defeat to Georgia in their opening game, followed by a draw with the Netherlands, early favourites Portugal find themselves bottom of Group A, whilst Belgium sit second after two successive draws.

The struggles of Portugal seem like a surprise at first glance, especially considering they amassed 41 goals from their 10 games during the qualifying stages, but the absence of 12 goal striker Goncalo Ramos, who now represents the Portuguese senior team, has clearly affected their ability to score as freely as they did during qualification.

Belgium had looked to be coasting to victory when 2-0 up at half time against Georgia on Saturday, but they were eventually pegged back in the 87th minute and had to settle for a point as a result. Another point on Tuesday might be enough for the Belgians, but that would be dependant on the Netherlands not beating Georgia in the other game in the group.

With both teams needing a victory to ensure their passage out of the group stage it should make for a great game of football. Portugal are the slight favourites to claim all three points, but I would not be surprised to see the Belgians come out on top.

The Belgian side boast five players who have already been capped for the senior team, including AC Milan midfielder Charles De Ketelaere and Lens striker Lois Openda. Both players featured prominently for their clubs during their respective seasons, whilst Openda has followed up thirteen goals in fifteen appearances for the Under-21s with 2 goals for the Belgian first team. To see a relatively strong looking side line-up as the underdogs is somewhat surprising, and there’s every reason to side with them emerging victorious as a result.

Traders’ Tip: Belgium @ 21/10. A £10 bet at these odds could return £31.

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England v Australia – Ashes 2nd Test – 11:00 – June 28

After a gripping end to the first test at Egbaston, England and Australia will go toe-to-toe once more when the second test gets underway at Lord’s on Thursday.

Last week’s climax in Birmingham saw Australia claim a step towards retaining the Ashes. England had reduced the Aussies to 227/8, in their chase of 281, following the dismissal of Alex Carey, leaving the hosts looking well positioned to claim the opening test of the series, but the 55 run partnership between bowler Nathan Lyon and captain Pat Cummings eventually steered the Australians home with just two wickets to spare and clinched an unlikely victory from the jaws of defeat.

Questions were asked about England’s decision to declare at 393/8 in the first innings, but there’s still plenty of positives that can be taken from a match that really could have gone either way.

Bowler Stuart Broad took three wickets in each innings, whilst Joe Root’s century in the first innings, followed by a 46 in his second, shows that the ever reliable batsman is more than prepared for the four remaining tests in the series.

Australia will also take plenty of confidence ahead of Thursday, not only due to the tense victory, but also because of the sheer grit of opening batsman Usman Khawaja, who not only scored 141 in his opening innings, but also featured with the bat on all five days of the first test.

Given how close England came to victory in the opener, it feels like this one has the potential to be a close run affair too. England have shown that they have more than enough to match the Aussies, and they will also know that they can ill afford to go 2-0 down in the best of five series. The weather is expected to play a role once again, but I have to side with England levelling up the series when the two sides meet in London this weekend. 

Traders’ Tip: England To Win @ 6/4. A £10 bet at these odds could return £25.

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England U21 v Germany U21 – UEFA Euro U21 2023 – 17:00 – June 28 

Last week I underestimated the strength that this England under-21 team possess. I believed that the absence of Balogun, paired with a poor run of form in this competition historically, was going to cause them to struggle once more, and once again I have been well and truly proven wrong.

England have won both of their games so far in the competition, and have already secured their spot at the top of Group C as a result. They had only progressed from the group stages in one of their last six attempts, and this time around they’ve already won their group with a game to spare.

Arsenal winger Emile Smith Rowe has scored the second goal in both of the young Three Lions 2-0 victories over the Czech Republic and Israel, with Aston Villa midfielder Jacob Ramsay and Newcastle forward Anthony Gordon providing the other goals. England have also bossed possession up to this point, and have made themselves serious contenders to win the competition as a result.

On Wednesday they have a date with Germany, but it’s the German’s who will be entering the game with their backs firmly against the wall. Losing to the Czech’s on Sunday means that there’s only one permutation that will see them qualify, they will need to beat England and hope that Israel can beat the Czech Republic, even then they will need to ensure they at least match Israel’s margin of victory to guarantee their progress.

Germany have plenty of decent players in their squad, striker Youssoufa Moukoko has scored 7 times for Dortmund in the Bundesliga last season, he also made an appearance for the Germany senior team in the Qatar World Cup, and is regarded as a potential future superstar at the age of just 18. Winger Kevin Schade recently signed for Brentford after an impressive loan spell in the Premier League, and defenders Josha Vagnoman, Marton Dardai, Luca Netz and Henning Matriciani have all forged their way in to the first team of their respective Bundesliga clubs.

How one of the pre-tournament favourites have left themselves on the precipice of failure is a mystery, but it’s now a scenario which is effectively out of their own hands.

Much like many teams who have found themselves in a similar situation in the past, England will have an opportunity to rotate and rest the vast majority of their starting line-up knowing that they’ll finish at the top of Group C regardless of the result, whilst Germany know that they need to win and hope for the best.

The selection of the Czech Republic last week came with a belief that England were going to underperform. This Wednesday I’ll be opposing them because they’ve outdone my expectations, and they don’t need to produce at a critical time as a result.

Traders’ Tip: Germany To Win @ 7/5. A £10 bet at these odds could return £24.

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Wimbledon Men’s Singles Draw – July 3- July 16

Pour yourself a glass of blackcurrant squash, get your umbrellas at the ready, and stock up and strawberries and cream, the 2023 Wimbledon Championships are upon us.

By the time next Monday comes along there’ll be 128 men hoping to get their name etched on the famous honour roll at the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club.

Last year’s final saw Novak Djokovic emerge victorious in four sets against Australian Nick Kyrgios. It was the seventh time that Djokovic had got his hands on the iconic silver trophy at the end of the fortnight and leaves him needing just one more success to match Roger Federer’s men’s record of eight Wimbledon victories.

Novak has already captured two majors this year, winning both the Australian Open and Roland Garros, and there’s a real belief that the Serb could become the first singles player since Steffi Graf in 1988 to win all four major tournaments in a calendar year. A record he almost completed in 2021, but he would lose the final of the US Open, the last major of the year, to Daniil Medvedev.

It’s difficult to look past the World number one, and 23 time major winner, coming out on top, but there’s a number of names who might ultimately put an end to his hopes.

World number two Carlos Alcaraz lost in the fourth round last year, but feels like someone who is constantly growing as a formidable force in the men’s game. The 20 year old Spanish star won the US Open at the end of last year, and was beaten in the semi-finals of the French Open by Djokovic just a few weeks ago, but he comes in to the tournament having won at Queen’s, a grass court tournament that has provided numerous Wimbledon champions over the years.

Daniil Medvedev was the man who stopped Djokovic’s Grand Slam hopes at the final hurdle two years ago, and the world number three could be another contender, having been banned from competing in last year’s competition. The world number 3 doesn’t come in to the tournament in the best of form, suffering early defeats in two grass court tournaments, as well as a first round loss at Roland Garros, but the Russian has won two of the five ATP Masters events this year, showing that he’s still one of the names at the top of the game.

The 24 year old duo of Casper Ruud and Stefanos Tsitsipas are both two time Grand Slam finalists who will be hoping to claim their maiden titles sooner rather than later, whilst British hopes will no doubt be resting on last year’s beaten semi-finalist Cameron Norrie, although some may be hoping that two time Wimbledon winner Andy Murray might be able to roll back the years once more following recent Challenger tour victories on grass at Surbiton and Nottingham.

Despite the threat on offer, I still have to side with Novak Djokovic coming out ahead of the 127 other competitors. Djokovic has won his last 28 matches at Wimbledon, victory would be yet another landmark in the illustrious career of the Serbian, as he would join Roger Federer and Bjorn Borg in becoming just the third man to win five straight Wimbledon titles during the Open Era.

He might be odds on for the title, and I can see him trading at odds against at some point during the fortnight, but I still can’t see past him picking up his 24th major title on July 16th.

Traders’ Tip: Novak Djokovic To Win @ 4/6. A £10 bet at these odds could return £16.66.

 

Wimbledon Women’s Singles Draw – July 3 – July 15 

Where the Men’s draw looks to be all about one man, the Women’s Wimbledon competition has plenty of potential entrants waiting to get hold of the Venus Rosewater Dish.

Last year we saw Kazakstan’s 17th seed Elena Rybakina beat Tunisian Ons Jabeur in the final, but the return of Russian and Belarusian competitors to this year’s event will make keeping hold of the trophy even more difficult.

Having held the world number one spot for over a year, Poland’s Iga Swiatek will be one of the early contenders to claim the spoils. Swiatek enters the tournament having defeated Karolina Muchova in the final of the French Open, but she has yet to fully transfer her dominance on the WTA circuit over to grass. Iga’s best performance at Wimbledon, in three previous attempts, was a run to the fourth round two years ago, and her only previous success on Grass came when winning the Junior Wimbledon title in 2018.

Belarusian second seed Aryna Sabalenka won the Australian Open at the start of the year, and followed this up with a run to the semi-finals of the French Open in June. She also managed to reach the last semi-finals here in 2021, and has made it to the final four in five of her last seven Grand Slam tournaments.

American Coco Gauff feels like she’s got the ability to dominate the women’s game over the next decade, her best performance has twice seen her make the fourth round, and at just 19 years old she feels like someone who’s constantly evolving and she definitely has the potential to pick up plenty of major titles in the future.

Petra Kvitova, Barbora Krejcikova and Victoria Azarenka are also seeded, and all have previously won a Grand Slam event, whilst British hopes will be pinned on Katie Boulter, who recently won her first career title at Nottingham, and reached the third round here last year.

With another wide open Women’s event looking set to be on the cards it’s difficult to find definitively pick out someone who’s going to win the event. However, given how consistent Sabalenka has been at going deep in the majors, it feels like it makes the most sense to side with her having another decent run over the next two weeks, and hoping that she can repeat the success she had in Melbourne back in January. 

Traders’ Tip: Aryna Sabalenka To Win @ 9/2. A £10 bet at these odds could return £55.

 

A £10 5-Fold on the above selections could return £1,705.

 

*Odds correct at the time of publishing. Available to UK residents (excluding Northern Ireland) aged 18+ only. T&Cs apply. www.begambleaware.org

 

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