From The Trading Floor (17)

From The Trading Floor

Join Jay and Dazn Bet’s trading team as they bring you the pick of this week’s sports bets in “From The Trading Floor”

Leeds United v Leicester City – Premier League  – 20:00 – April 25

Tuesday’s Premier League action sees a crucial game at the bottom of the table when Leeds United welcome Leicester City to Elland Road.

Both teams enter the match perilously close to the drop zone with just six games of the season remaining. Leicester are currently sitting 17th, level on points with Everton in the final relegation spot, but with a far superior goal difference, whilst Leeds are just a point above the them both in 16th place.

The hosts come in to this one having scored in their last seven outings, but they will plenty to ponder defensively, conceding 11 goals in their last two home games alone.

Leicester come in to this one on the back of Sunday’s 2-1 victory at home to Wolves, their first win in 11 games across all competitions. It was also a first win for their new manager, Dean Smith, who took over shortly after former manager Brendan Rodgers departed at the start of April.

With the season beginning to draw to a close this fixture feels like a classic ‘six pointer’, where the team that emerges victorious is going to take a huge step towards ensuring their own Premier League survival.

Leeds have shown over the past few weeks that they are beginning to feel the effects of a tough season, conceding goals in clusters doesn’t feed me with much confidence that they are going to safely navigate through the next month, and it’s likely to be a tough half dozen games for the Yorkshire club.

Leicester, on the other hand, have shown signs of improvement over the last couple of weeks in terms of their performance on the pitch, and that was rewarded with their victory over the weekend. I feel that the squad they have at their disposal shouldn’t really be in this situation, but they do seem to be taking positive strides at the right time.

Given the recent form of both teams, I have to side with the visitors coming away from this with the win, and giving themselves some momentary breathing room in the process.

 

Traders’ Tip: Leicester to Win @ 21/10. A £10 bet at these odds could return £31.

 

 

Manchester City v Arsenal –Premier League – 20:00 – April 26

Tuesday might see an intriguing tussle at the bottom of the table, but the highlight of the midweek action will undoubtably come at the Etihad Stadium where second placed Manchester City will be hoping to close the gap further on Premier League leaders Arsenal.

The hosts will be coming in to this one in the best possible form. A draw in Germany against Bayern Munich in the Champions League last Wednesday may have ended their 10 match winning run, but it was more than enough to see them safely through to a Semi-Final shown with Real Madrid, whilst Saturday saw them book their place in the FA Cup final following a 3-0 victory over Sheffield United, with Riyad Mahrez scoring a hat-trick in the process.

City are now unbeaten in their previous 16 games as a result, having also won their last 11 games at home, 6 of which have come by at least a three goal margin.

Arsenal, in contrast, have been stuttering their way towards the finish line. Three successive draws in the Premier League has left them clinging on to top spot, and they will feel fortunate to have emerged with a point on Friday night after trailing to bottom club Southampton for the majority of their encounter.

In most cases, it may seem odd for a second placed team to be such strong favourites against a side currently sitting at the summit of a league table, but recent form has shown that Man City are on a war path, whilst the cracks are beginning to show in Arsenal’s title challenge. I’ve spent the last couple of weeks claiming that it doesn’t feel like anybody can stop the hosts in their current form, and this fixture doesn’t look to be any exception, although I don’t think Arsenal are going to go down without a fight. The Gunners have scored 15 goals in their last five fixtures, and I can see them getting on the scoresheet once more here, but I would be surprised if Man City weren’t still able to come away with all three points.

 

Traders’ Tip: Man City to Win & Both Teams To Score @ 2/1. A £10 bet at these odds could return £30.

 

 

Rajasthan Royals v Chennai Super Kings – Indian Premier League – 15:00 – April 27

By the time Wednesday’s encounter between Rajasthan Royals and Chennai Super Kings comes around the regular season of the IPL will have hit the halfway mark, and the encounter in Jaipur looks set to be a showdown between two of the frontrunners in this year’s competition.

Rajasthan started the tournament in blistering style, winning four of their opening five matches to top the table, but they will enter this encounter having lost their last two outings at the hands of Lucknow Super Giants and RCB.

Chennai were the team who have quickly capitalised on the Royals’ stuttering form, winning five of their seven games to date, including their last three, to become the first team to hit ten points this year.

The Super Kings’ last two victories have also looked almost too straightforward, a seven wicket win over the Sunrisers on Friday was followed with a 49 run victory over KKR on Sunday evening, showing that Chennai seem to be getting stronger as the tournament progresses, and one factor in their recent success has been the form of batsman Devon Conway.

The New Zealand opener has scored a half century in each of his last four innings in the competition, and he will have the opportunity to tie the record for most consecutive IPL fifties against Rajasthan on Wednesday.

The Royals have their own strengths in terms of batting, with Jos Buttler, Shimron Hetmyer, Sanju Samson and Yashasvi Jaiswal all producing decent innings during the tournament so far, but their two recent failures does not put them in the best of form ahead of this showdown.

Given the contrasting nature of both teams ahead of this meeting it’s difficult to look past a Chennai victory. They’ve had scores north of 220 the last couple of times they’ve batted first, and should they start the match at the crease then it wouldn’t be surprise to see them continuing their fine run of form with bat in hand.

 

Traders’ Tip: Chennai Super Kings To Win @ 17/20. A £10 bet at these odds could return £18.50.

 

 

Leinster v Toulouse – European Rugby Champions Cup – 16:00 – April 29

The semi-finals of the Champions Cup take place this weekend, and Saturday’s encounter sees the two most successful clubs in the 27 year history of the competition square off against each other, when four time winners Leinster welcome five time winners Toulouse to Dublin’s Aviva Stadium.

Leinster might be entering this one on the back of an absolute drubbing at the hands of Bulls in the United Rugby Championship at the weekend, but that result can pretty much be ignored considering the fact they had already wrapped up their spot in the knockout stage and fielded a completely new starting XV as a result. A full strength Leinster side has pretty much cruised through the entire 2022/23 season without too much trouble, with a 22-22 draw against South African Shield winners Stormers being the only blemish during an unbeaten season.

Toulouse have been in much more of a tussle in France’s Top 14. Currently sitting just a point above second placed La Rochelle following defeats at both Stade Francais and Castres in the last month, with a 36-31 victory over Lyon, and two victories over Sharks and Bulls to reach the Champions Cup semi-finals sandwiched between.

The French top flight might be much more competitive than the multi-national United League, but Toulouse have found trips outside of their home surroundings to be a lot less straightforward. Despite being unbeaten at the Stade Ernest-Wallon, they have lost seven times in fourteen games outside of Toulouse, and that makes their trip to Dublin all the more of an uphill challenge for the French club.

History has shown that home advantage has paid off when these two have met before. All six of the previous matches between the two teams have been won by the hosts, with Leinster winning all four of their home encounters by at least a nine point margin, including a 40-17 victory at the same stage last season.

Leinster have pretty much been sublime in front of their home supporters all season, and their 31 point margin of victory over Leicester in the quarter finals, also at the Aviva Stadium, is a clear sign that they are more capable of inflicting a similar punishment on their French visitors. They haven’t lost a Champions Cup game on home soil since a 17-25 defeat to Saracens in 2020, and that’s enough to convince me that they can pick up a convincing victory over Toulouse this weekend.

                

Traders’ Tip: Leinster -8.5 @ 17/20. A £10 bet at these odds could return £18.50.

 

 

Azerbaijan Grand Prix – Formula 1 – 14:00 – April 30

Formula 1 action returns this weekend, with Azerbaijani capital Baku hosting the fourth instalment of this season’s Championship calendar.

So far we’ve had a pretty captivating opening few rounds, and it feels like everyone may have needed the four week gap to get over the insanity that unfolded in Australia at the start of April.

Max Verstappen emerged victorious on that occasion, in a race that was stopped three times, with Lewis Hamilton finishing second, and Fernando Alonso making up the podium in third, despite the latter seemingly being forced out of the race prior to the final red flag stoppage.

As a result, Red Bull continued their dominance atop the Constructors’ Championship standings, showing that they have a clear advantage over the rest of the field when it comes to the sheer power of their vehicle. It’s therefore no surprise to see Dutch drier Max Verstappen installed as the heavy favourite to emerge victorious in Azerbaijan, however, there may be some value in taking team mate Sergio Perez to come out on top instead.

The Mexican crashed out of qualifying in Australia before being able to set a time, and was forced to start the race from the pit lane as a result. Despite this he was able to register a fifth place finish, setting the fastest lap of the race in the process, and his performance in Melbourne was another indicator that he isn’t willing to simply play second fiddle to Verstappen during the season.

In fact, Red Bull themselves have shown that they are willing to let the two drivers compete with each other, something that worked in Perez’s favour during the second race in Saudi Arabia, where Sergio was able to pick up the victory ahead of his team mate.

Perez was runner-up to Verstappen in Baku last season, and won at the same venue in 2021 after his team mate retired due to a tyre failure. Given how much more competitive Sergio seems this season, and also how Red Bull have had a stranglehold on the race over the last couple of years, it seems like it might be worth taking a bit of a punt on Perez coming out on top this time around.

 

Traders’ Tip: Sergio Perez To Win @ 4/1. A £10 bet at these odds could return £50.

 

 

A £10 6-Fold on the above selections could return £1591.46.

 

*Odds correct at the time of publishing. Available to UK residents (excluding Northern Ireland) aged 18+ only. T&Cs apply. www.begambleaware.org

 

Read the previous