From The Trading Floor (13)

From The Trading Floor

Join Jay and DAZN Bet’s trading team as they bring you the pick of this week’s sports bets in “From The Trading Floor”

Scotland v Spain – UEFA Euro 2024 Qualification – Group A – 19:45 – March 28

After picking up a 3-0 victory over Cyprus in their opening Group A fixture, Scotland will be hoping to spring a surprise when they welcome Spain to Hampden Park on Tuesday night.

The Scots were rarely threatened by the Cypriots, but they did need two late goals from Manchester United midfielder Scott McTominay to put the game beyond doubt. Aston Villa’s John McGinn had put them ahead during a first half that they truly dominated, but Scotland will still feel that they’ll have to improve if they want to compete with one of Europe’s better footballing nations.

Spain also started their campaign with a 3-0 victory, at home to Norway, but they’re scoreline was also helped courtesy of two goals from striker Joselu during the final ten minutes. It was a solid start to Group A for a team that will feel like they underachieved in Qatar, where they suffered a last 16 exit to Morocco via penalties, as well as a group stage defeat to Japan.

Spain have lost just two qualifying matches for major tournaments since 2007, those being 2-1 defeats at Slovakia and Sweden, and they’ll be keen to continue their impressive qualifying record and book their place at Germany 2024 with minimum fuss.

Scotland definitely have the potential to cause Spain a few headaches, especially when playing in front of their home supporters. They have pushed the likes of Germany and England close in recent years, and also claimed a 2-0 victory over Denmark during the qualifying phase for Qatar 2022. They have lost just two of their last 18 matches at Hampden Park, a 3-1 loss to Ukraine in the play-offs for the last World Cup, and a 2-0 loss to Czechia during the group stages of Euro 2020.

This will be the first encounter between the two teams since 2011, where Spain completed the double over Scotland on their way to a flawless qualifying campaign for the 2012 World Cup. I would be expecting Spain to make it through this group in similar fashion, but I think they’ll be made to work for a victory on Tuesday evening.

Scotland definitely look like a team that has improved over the last few years and they’re more than capable of finding the target. They created ample chances during their encounter with Cyprus, but they lacked a bit of clinical finishing in front of goal. A similar approach against Spain could easily lead to a goal at some stage, but ultimately the visitors should emerge with a victory.

Traders’ Tip: Both Teams To Score and Spain To Win @ 3/1. A £10 bet at these odds could return £40.

 

 

Western Bulldogs v Brisbane Lions – AFL – 09:20 – March 30

The 2023 AFL season begins its’ third week on Thursday when the Western Bulldogs host the Brisbane Lions.

The Bulldogs have yet to show any real quality during the first two rounds of the season. They have lost both games by large margins (50 points against Melbourne and 51 points against St. Kilda), and have struggled to find success in the scoring department. They could only pick up a single behind during the opening quarter of their defeat to St. Kilda, and it feels like they aren’t quite at the level they were playing at during the start of the 2022 season.

Brisbane started the season with a 52 point loss at Port Adelaide, looking like a team that was still feeling the aftermath of their comprehensive loss to Geelong in the Preliminaries last season, however, they bounced back last week with a 93-82 victory over Melbourne, although they did try their hardest to blow a 40 point lead during the final quarter following a power failure at the Gabba.

The Bulldogs haven’t shown too much from the opening fortnight to suggest they can get anything from this encounter. Brisbane will be hoping to build on their momentum from last weeks’ success and should be able to keep a comfortable distance between themselves and their opposition throughout this match.

 

Traders’ Tip: Brisbane Bulldogs -14.5 @ 9/10. A £10 bet at these odds could return £19.

 

 

Gujurat Titans v Chennai Super Kings – Indian Premier League – 15:00 – March 31

Ten months ago the Gujurat Titans took to the field for the final of the IPL at their own Narendra Modi Stadium, they managed to chase down Rajasthan’s total of 130 with minimum fuss and claim the title in their maiden IPL season.

This Thursday they will return to the scene of their success, when they welcome the Chennai Super Kings for the opening match of the sixteenth edition of the Indian Premier League, and it will all be shown live on DAZN.

Gujurat have managed to maintain the bulk of the team that started that final in May, boasting the batting prowess of David Miller & Shubman Gill alongside the phenomenal bowling ability of Rashid Khan.

Despite this, they have still managed to snap up a bargain during the auction, picking up experienced New Zealander Kane Williamson to add an extra bit of power to their top order.

Chennai had arguably the worst season in their 13 year history during 2022, losing their opening four matches and eventually finishing tied at the bottom of the table with the Mumbai Indians. England all-rounder Ben Stokes should add some much-needed firepower to their batting lineup following his acquisition during the auction, whilst South African pace bowler Sisanda Magala will hopefully be a fitting replacement for a line-up that will be missing the dependable Dwayne Bravo following his retirement in December of last year.

Despite the additions, I believe that Chennai are likely to struggle during the opening fixture. CSK will probably take a few games to find the right balance with their overseas players, especially as they’ll no doubt be eager to get both Stokes and Magala involved from the start, and this could play in to the hands of the much more settled Gujurat team. I think the Titans look like they could be the ones to beat again this year, and I can see them starting with a straightforward victory as a result.

 

Traders’ Tip: Gujurat Titans to Win @ 15/20. A £10 bet at these odds could return £17.50.

 

 

Anthony Joshua v Jermaine Franklin – Approx. 21:00 – April 1

The eyes of the Boxing world will be on the O2 Arena on Saturday night for the showdown between Anthony Joshua and American Jermaine Franklin.

Franklin suffered his first professional defeat at the hands of Dillion Whyte back in November. The American was frustrated in defeat after feeling he had done more than enough to leave Wembley with a victory, but despite his points loss he was still handed the opportunity to face Joshua as a result.

AJ will be hoping to bounce back to winning ways after failing to recapture his unified heavyweight titles against Oleksandr Usyk in Saudi Arabia back in August. The Watford born British Heavyweight was in attendance for the Whyte – Franklin showdown, and he’s insistent that he will be entering this encounter “ready to go to war” under the guidance of new coach Derrick James.

November’s bout won’t go down as a classic beyond any stretch of the imagination. Franklin did look every bit Whyte’s equal for the majority of the fight, but it was more a case of Whyte being out of sorts rather than Franklin looking like a legitimate Heavyweight challenger. If Joshua is true in his statement that he’s determined to be more serious and focused then he should be more than capable of stopping his American counterpart.

I echo the apparent belief of most betting firms in that it’s likely to be a tentative opening before AJ stamps his authority on proceedings. He’s a strong odds-on shout to win by stoppage, and ending the bout early in the second half is something I am firmly on board with

 

Traders’ Tip: Anthony Joshua To Win In Rounds 7-9 @ 16/5. A £10 bet at these odds could return £42.

 

 

Newcastle United v Manchester United – Premier League – 16:30 – April 2

Sunday’s Premier League action will see a repeat of the Carabao Cup final as Manchester United travel to St James’ Park to face Newcastle.

The hosts will enter the weekend sitting fifth in the Premier League table, two points behind fourth placed Spurs but with two games in hand. They seem to have found some form once again prior to the International break, after 2-1 successes against Nottingham Forest and Wolves, but this came after a period that saw them pick up just eight points from their previous eight fixtures.

Manchester United are currently third in the Premier League, three points above their opponents here, and they’ll be hoping to get back to winning ways in the top flight after following up their 7-0 drubbing at the hands of Liverpool with a 0-0 draw at home to bottom club Southampton.

Although they haven’t been able to bounce back from that defeat to Liverpool in the Premier League, Manchester United have looked solid in other competitions. They secured their place in the Quarter Finals of the Europa league with a home and away victory over Real Betis, and a 3-1 victory over Fulham in the FA Cup has booked them a semi-final showdown with Brighton.

In beating Nottingham Forest, Newcastle displayed signs that they had put their recent dip in form behind them, Swedish striker Alexander Isak has scored three goals in his last two outings for the Geordies and he will be hoping to maintain that form on Sunday.

These two teams are seemingly well matched heading into this encounter, and the result is certain to go a long way towards determining who will be playing Champions League football next season. I am inclined to give the nod to the hosts though due to the fact that Manchester United have seemingly struggled without defensive midfielder Casemiro in their line-up. The Brazilian will miss this encounter following his first half dismissal against Southampton and his absence could be the difference between the two teams on Sunday.

                                                                                               

Traders’ Tip: Newcastle To Win @ 7/5. A £10 bet at these odds could return £19.

 

 

A £10 5-Fold on the above selections could return £1,417.25

 

*Odds correct at the time of publishing. Available to UK residents (excluding Northern Ireland) aged 18+ only. T&Cs apply. www.begambleaware.org

Read the previous